July 29th, 2014
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PUTIN, THE UKRAINE, AND A $20,000,000,000 FAST ONE… SOME SPECULATION

In the wake of the Ukrainian crisis and the Russian “annexation” of the Crimea, there has been a certain school of thought out there that says Mr. Obama played Vladimir Putin for the fool, as Russian rhetoric about invasions of the Eastern Ukraine only served to pull Western capital out of Russia. This school of thought has it that the clever Mr. Obama, by not ratcheting up his own rhetoric, forced Mr. Putin’s hand as prices of Russian stocks began to plummet as Westerners pulled there capital. (See Vladimir Putin Has Been Outplayed by Barack Obama)

But what most people in the West do not yet “get” is that Mr. Putin is not simply “Mr.” Putin. He’s also been not only an academic, but an academic administrator, according to his own personal website:

Vladimir Putin Personal Website

Additionally, his thesis while at the University of Leningrad (St. Petersburg), “The Most-Favored Nation Trading Principle in International Law”(see the Wikipedia article on Mr. Putin), should give an indicator of why Mr. Putin has been carefully brokering various bi-lateral agreements with various nations, most recently China. In other words, we’re not dealing with a financial slouch. If anything, Mr. Putin has shown all the financial shrewdness of Martin Bormann, and the Ukrainian crisis was no exception, for while some are opining that Mr. Putin was handed a bone by the crafty Obama, the reverse is true: as Russian stock prices fell because Western investors were withdrawing their money and selling their shares of Russian companies, those shares were being bought up by, you guessed it, Russians and in particular, the Russian oligarchs:

The Bankers Want Putin’s Head

Now, there is always method and calculation in Mr. Putin’s calm, smiling demeanor, as the following summary of what happened indicates:

“At the beginning of of the Crimean crisis, the rouble started to fall but the Central Bank of Russia did nothing to prop it up. Rumors started spreading that Russia simply did not possess the reserves necessary to maintain the rouble.

“These rumors and Putin’s declarations of intent to support the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine led to a plunge in the price of the shares in Russian energy companies, which made the “sharks” rush to sell their shares before they might lose their entire value. Putin waited a whole week, apparently doing nothing but smiling at press conferences (which was interpreted as trying to show a brave face), but when the shares almost touched bottom he gave instructions to rapidly buy them up from European and American owners.

“When the “sharks” realized they had been had it was already too late: the shares were all in Russia’s hands. Not only did Russia gained $20 billion in only a few days, it also brought home the market shares of its industries. Now the revenues from oil and gas will not stay stay in Russia rather than run abroad but the rouble has been restored without having to touch Russia’s gold reserves and the “sharks” have been thwarted.”

Regular readers here know that I’ve been warning for some time, with respect to the West’s use of covert operations to achieve objectives, that this is a dangerous game, and one that two people can play. Similarly, the manipulation of crises and public opinion – for the purposes of manipulating markets to achieve domestic and geopolitical agendas – is also a game that two people can play, and apparently, Mr. Putin just recently played that game, and played it well.

So let’s speculate a bit: Mr. Putin has, for the moment, decided against any further intervention in the Ukraine. And this has served him well, as the coup-government in Kiev has reacted to the revolt in the Eastern Ukraine with a heavy, Brussels-Berlin-Washington-inspired hand, with appropriate responses in public opinion. The question is, why has Mr. Putin backed off the Ukraine after his little stock coup? One answer might be that he is playing a very long term, strategic game, and is allowing the Ukraine to experience just what being a part of the grand Europaprojekt really means. And that will eventually backfire on the West, and on Europe. As nationalistic-populist revolts against Brussels spreads in Europe – witness the recent spate of elections in Europe – a Euro-disinchanted Ukraine will be nice leverage ready to hand.

Little wonder then that when the Bilderblitherers occasionally invite Mr. Putin to their soirees, he brings his own food and cooks. They might want to consider doing the same.

See you on the flip side.

11 Responses to PUTIN, THE UKRAINE, AND A $20,000,000,000 FAST ONE… SOME SPECULATION

  1. old97polarcat says:

    Important to note that Russian equities are up 28 percent since the beginning of the crisis. Russian stock market appears to be just fine.

  2. DanaThomas says:

    There is a “black hole” in the Ukraine crisis: Germany and its ambivalent policy. Germany: a) had a strong economic position in the Ukraine before the coup d’etat; b) has historic links with the 1940s neonazi movement later managed jointly with the CIA; c) supported the US coup d’etat; d) has at the same time cautioned the US to be more “moderate”; e) and has been opening up to the BRICSA alliance. Since Germany, like Moscow, plays a long term game, we might speculate that they want to come to an agreement with Russia in order to consolidate their position in Eastern Europe (without firing a shot, at least not directly…), maybe with some new “territorial arrangements”. In the meantime, the Americans, if they can still afford it, will have shifted over to a different country to mess up…

  3. Ramura says:

    Reading Putin’s personal website was fascinating. SO serious! SO goal oriented! SO wanting to gather his country together and raise it up. Such a contrast to everyone who has held the corresponding position in the U.S. in recent years…

    As long as we are exploring Putin’s soul, here is a horoscope that is short and to the point. Anyone with any basic astrological understanding will clearly see a very intelligent, VERY SENSITIVE!!! and IDEALISTIC person with need to understand the BIG picture at all times. I daresay that his menacing stare is very likely a protective mechanism he developed at a very early age to cover up his basic extreme tender nature! I wouldn’t have thought that if I didn’t see the chart…

    Here’s the link:

    http://www.librarising.com/astrology/celebs/vladimirputin.html

  4. MadMax says:

    Good Evening Joseph,

    Have you seen this one yet:

    Russian TV documentary of war in the Antarctic between the U.S and Nazi Alien base

    http://www.stevequayle.com/index.php?s=609

    Very, very interesting!

    Max

    • DanaThomas says:

      It must be said that to the credit of the Russians the documentary seems to make no reference to “aliens” or “annunaki” – the terms have been added to the youtube description. As for Antarctica, the Russians probably know a lot more but they aren’t telling

  5. DownunderET says:

    I don’t care which way you slice it, the Ukraine has been a monstrous “blowback” by the Washington goons, and Putin has been a perfect statesmen in all of this. He has shown the World that a) Russia will not heal to the Western/Anglo elites and b) that Russia has put in place an energy strategy to supply Europe with gas and oil and there’s nothing the pompous foreign policy nut jobs can do about it. Putin has also played the economic game with finesse and diligence and the Russian people are all the better for it. I pity the poor American people for what their policy makers have done to a once great country, and it wont end till there are “boots in the street” with guns and knotted ropes.

    • MQ says:

      Though Putin looks perfect, and indeed probably has better PR than Obummer, there’s part of me that’s wondering: are we looking at a setup, like wrestling. We have the villain (US/Western oligarchs) and the hero (Putin). Plus, Putin hasn’t missed a beat, like he knows what’s going to happen before it does. Now this could be from his intelligence sources, or he’s getting data from whatever Elites. The Elites may now have determined that the US needs to go down and will feed info or money to the enemy best equipped to make that happen. After a really big win, then Russia can go back to its previous role as Villain and we go back to a long term deadlock where much time and money is spent in antagonism and war, rather than improving the lot of humanity.

  6. Daryl Davis says:

    Yesterday’s gas pipeline explosion in the Ukraine — which received zero network news coverage thanks in part to the “sensational” stagecraft arrest of a purported Benghazi terrorist [A gentleman who will be granting no further interviews until December 2016 at the earliest. You're very welcome, Hillary.] — would seem to highlight the ever present vulnerability of Russia’s huge investment. Is Putin yet shrewd enough to protect his natural gas all the way to Europe?

    The explosion disrupted very little. But it would seem to have been a message sent — perhaps the preview for a false flag thrown? It may have also been a rather clumsy attempt by Putin at further manipulation of his own divesting markets. But perhaps it was only a not-so-subtle missive from an increasingly impatient West.

  7. marcos toledo says:

    I just wonder what long range plans Vladimir Putin has arrange for profiting from the mess the Anglo-American elite has created around the world which is blowing up in their faces. Anyone want to guess what the map of the world will look like in say ten years I open for suggestions. There a article on the AlterNet website I read today on how ignorant the American public is but we on this website knows that. Wishing you luck Vladimir Putin and hoping this mess in Iraq and Ukraine clears up soon.

  8. Robert Barricklow says:

    Shades of Rothschild after Waterloo.

  9. Lost says:

    Quoting from the quoted article:

    “Now the revenues from oil and gas will not stay stay in Russia rather than run abroad but the rouble has been restored without having to touch Russia’s gold reserves and the “sharks” have been thwarted.”

    There be an extra “not” in there, so if read literally, not as mistake, the article means exactly the opposite.

    Also the implication that Putin ordered Russian oligarches to buy up Russian energy companies, seems a bit far fetched. Also unlikely that US and European companies with longterm holdings in Russia energy companies would dump those holdings overnight.

    So that leaves western companies doing short term speculation to dump Russian energy companies’ stock–that’s certainly possible.