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CRACKS IN THE BRICS?

Mr. S.D. has been sending me some interesting articles, and some of them concern a quiet and little-noticed arms buildup going on in Asia, the western Pacific, and Indian oceans, and part of that buildup concerns Japan, and the other, India. The latter of course is one of the nations that is part of the BRICSA coalition, the lose arrangement of countries - Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa - that has grown out of the Shanghai accords. You won't have noticed this arms race, because the western lamestream media are too busy talking about....well, next to nothing.

Before we get to the arms race, however, it's worth noting some basic geopolitical and historical realities, both bearing on the ad hoc nature of the BRICSA coalition.  India's history within the orbit of the Anglosphere, and more specifically, within the British Empire, is well known. Historical ties die hard, and India's occasional brushes with China are well known and a matter of recent history.  India is, as the cliche has it, the "world's largest democracy," and China and Russia of course are two old cultures with equally long memories and habits, those having little direct experience with democracy or the fictions of "limited government" that have informed civics textbooks. India's presence within the BRICSA coalition, like Brazil's and South Africa's, is a presence that should indicate that the geopolitical realities of the world have changed profoundly since the end of the Cold War; India's presence within that coalition would seem to signal more a fear of run-amok American or Anglosphere corruption and unipolarity than anything else. If recent military expeditions, Middle East uprisings, financial corruption, and unprecedented electronic snooping are any indicator, those suspicions and fears would appear to be well-founded. India is in the delicate position of having to balance its cordial relations with Russia - a legacy of Mrs. Ghandi's era to some extent - and its frequent clashes with China on the one hand, and its relationship to the Anglosphere and the west via its key role in the British Empire on the other.

Japan is the other country involved in what I am perhaps misnaming "the new arms race," but misnomers or no, the role of Japan in recent western geopolitics is a murky one. Opened to the west by the USA, Japan quickly industrialized, or perhaps it is better to say, was quickly industrialized. British naval expertise from Vickers and Armstrong was quickly imported, and after one or two battleships built in British shipyards and careful copying of British technology and naval tradition, Japan was soon building her own battleships and skilled naval officer corps and admiralty, which proved its lethal effectiveness during the Russo-Japanese War. Similarly, seeking the best of the best, Japan mimicked and adopted the best in land tactics of the day through skillful liaisons with the USA, UK, and Imperial Germany. In short, Japan was intended to be the catspaw for the west, keeping in check the real "yellow horde" of concern to Anglosphere geopoliticians: the looming juggernaut of China, which was drugged and fragmented into competing warlords, while Japan grew.  As we have often conjectured here, steps were being made in Asia to bury the hatchet between China and Japan... until that "warning" from then Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, and Fukushima.

All this is background to these intriguing articles:

India launches home-built, 37,500-tonne aircraft carrier in a shot across the bow to China

Indian Army successfully test launches Prithvi-II missile

Japan's Giant New 'Flat Top' Destroyer Is So A Secret Aircraft Carrier

What this suggests is first, that India's position within the BRICSA coalition is wobbly at best, and that Japan continues to function as a satrapy for the Anglosphere.

But it also suggests something else may be afoot for the long term, especially as these events and launches occur within the timeframe of the USA's tilt to the Pacific, and reorientation of its strategic posture to Asia and into a more confrontational role with China and Russia. Chinese and Russian naval power are confronted by the colossus of American naval power... but with a buildup by India, and a full scale naval rearmament by Japan, which has yet to flex anything near its capability in this respect, and these two countries become the countries able to tip the balance of power in the Pacific and Indian oceans one way or another, and I suspect the planners in New Delhi and Tokyo know it.

Thus, watch as the fun begins, as more and more strange combinations of "joint naval and military exercises" occur...Russia and China are givens, but watch for Japan-USA, or Japan-India, or India-Russia, or (my personal favorite), Japan-Russia-South Korea, and watch for all sorts of creative explanations for these exercises: "regional security arrangements", "joint anti-piracy exercises" and all sorts of nonsense. The real goings-on will be demonstrations and assessments of each other's capabilities.

The other significant thing to watch, in the next few years - particularly in Japan's case - is how these new ships are named: this particular carrier is the second ship within Imperial Japan's history since World War II to bear that name, the first being a WW2  heavy cruiser(and if one goes back to the Russo-Japanese War, there was a cruiser Izumo in the IJN during that conflict). If Japan starts naming its new carriers things like Akagi, Kaga, Hiryu or Soryu, then that's a message folks...

In short, watch this one carefully folks, for we're watching new geopolitical realities unfold before our eyes.

See you on the flip side.

7 thoughts on “CRACKS IN THE BRICS?”

  1. In a demoarlized society/ world…the truth has no effect. Another biblical prophesy come true, the denying of the truth. Nations like dominoes are lined up and ready to fall.

    The meek will inherit the world…..and they will fear God.

    1. “The meek may inherit the world, but the strong will inherit the universe!”

      Just a quote I read somewhere a while back.

  2. As always our chickens without a head leaders are again rushing into places that they know nothing of or care to know. Their self righteous arrogance knows no bounds they like the Bourbon’s learn nothing forget nothing. Those who know history will know that the aircraft carriers Akagi , Kaga, Hiryu, Soryu were the ships lost at Midway in 1942 by the Japanese to the Americans. As for India they have not forgotten the 190 odd years under the British boot nor do the other BRICAS nations their run in’s with the Western Europeans.

    1. By the Mr. Farrell here are two stories on transhumanism first from http://www. scientificamerican.com titled Lab Made Egg and Sperm Precursors Raise Prospect for Infertility Treatment. Second from http://extraoridinaryintelligence.com titled A Troubling Transhumanist Tale they were posted 08/21/13 and watch the short film ABE.

  3. Jairam Ramesh, chief negotiator for India at the 2009 UN’s Climate Change Conference held in Copenhagen, the man coined the term “Chindia” thinks “What has emerged as a “Copenhagen spirit” of friendship between India and China that has high strategic significance far beyond the issue of climate change”.
    http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2010-05-09/india/28305207_1_india-and-china-copenhagen-talks-climate-change
    One of the key issues beyond climate change is border dispute. In recent years, the two nations have came to an agreement in which they won’t let border dispute hinder bilateral relationship let alone a possible military conflict leading to nuclear armageddon.
    http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2013-05-20/india/39392194_1_border-dispute-special-representatives-bound ary-question
    http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-china-hope-to-finalise-border-defence-cooperation-pact/article5042490.ece
    During the BRICSA summit in Sanya, the prospect of future reform for the UN is also welcomed by India.
    http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/brics-meet-china-backs-indias-aspiration-for-un-role/1/135274.html

    “Japan-Russia-South Korea”
    South Korea’s president Park Geun-hye is yet to decide when she’s going to meet with Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe due to issues like “Yasukuni Shrine” and “comfort women”. She has already paid a visit to China, traditionally South Korean leaders tend to visit Japan first.
    http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/08/15/national/park-calls-on-japan-to-face-up-to-history/
    http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/07/13/national/no-abe-park-summit-in-g-20-cards/
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6kHJamLzag

    also, some related recent developments.
    http://ajw.asahi.com/article/behind_news/politics/AJ201307270056
    http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/08/21/national/abe-urges-mccain-to-budget-for-u-s-marine-forces-shift-to-guam/

  4. Robert Barricklow

    Definitely sparking alot of interests worldwide.
    But with too many sparks in the air?
    And with too many war games being lined-up?
    Perhaps then, thebl winds of the sun
    will extinguish all these blow-hard candles out?

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