CHINA CALLING FOR NEW INTERNATIONAL SECURITY POLICYDecember 14, 2015
As readers here are aware, over the past few days' blogs, we've been considering the indications of a possible major geopolitical shift at work internationally, and certainly at least in Europe and Russia, vis-a-vis the contemporary "trouble spot" of the world, the Middle East. As I've been suggesting, there seem to be indicators that Saudi Arabia is being or has been quietly moved from the "friend" column to the "fiend" or "foe" column, if not by the West in its entirety, then at least by certain great powers - France, Germany, and Russia, with quiet "indicators" of the same process being echoed by Italy and the United Kingdom - and against this backdrop one might make certain predictions, for if it is in fact occurring, then we should expect that at some point there will be growing calls to subject the Saudi regime to war crimes trials and "crimes against humanity" under the international criminal court in The Hague, and calls for the Saudi representative on the UN Human Rights commission to be handed his walking papers, and never invited back. Time will tell, of course, but if such a geopolitical realignment is under way, then one may expect these maneuvers to occur in the future in this regard, as they have in the past to regimes that have fallen out of favor.
As all this whirlwind of activity and statements has been occurring, you may not have noticed that China quietly weighed in regarding the general subject of geopolitical alignment, as indicated by this article from Russia's Sputnik, shared by Ms. K.M.:
As the article itself suggests, the Chinese government has an almost impeccable track record of timing such statements, and I strongly suspect that in the wake of German Vice-Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel's statements about Suadi Arabia, and Germany's decisions not to share intelligence with NATO ally Turkey, that China has carefully chosen this precise time to issue this call to "non-bloc-oriented" political and international security measures, for they are clearly directed at NATO, and its ultimate puppet master, Washington DC. This occurs also at the precise time that the whole subject of Islamic terrorism is one the minds of a large segment of the world's population, particularly in Europe and North America in the wake of the Paris and San Bernardino murders. China, too, is confronted with a similar problem for similar reasons in its western-most provinces, and as I indicated in yesterday's "tidbit," the other colossus of the East, Japan, has dealt with the problem by simply not allowing the problem to penetrate its borders.
I suspect in China's case, however, the message and reasoning may be a bit more inscrutably byzantine, but that they boil down to an indirect attact on Washington's whole interventionist policy in the area since the first invasion of Iraq during the Gulf War, an intervention, you'll recall, made at the behest of Wahabbist Kuwait and ultimately carried out with the cooperation of Whabbist Saudi Arabia. For the moment, China's interests lie in the stability of the region, and for a very simple reason: its energy imports are dependent on it. Hence China has relatively cordial relations with Iran, and these relations, and its desire for stability in the region, will last until its energy deals with Russia actually take shape in the form of real pipelines from Siberia to China. Once that is in place, China's tune will change.
China has already indicated its support for the basic stance taken by Mr. Putin's Russia vis-a-vis its intervention in Syria at the behest of the Assad government in Damascus. But more importantly, China has just completed a base at in northeast Africa at the southern tip of the Red Sea... a base conveniently close to you-know-who.
So what's China's "subtle message" to Washington, and to you-know-who? I suggest, given its peculiar timing, that it's also directed at Europe, with which it conducts such extensive trade, and the message is "keep right on doing what you're doing, i.e., keep right on rethinking the whole NATO structure and your relationship with Washington and its toadies in you-know-where." Translated, that message also means, "you may continue to lop off heads and chop off hands in your own country, but at the first instance to attempt to export it, particularly here, by any means covert, religious, or otherwise, and it will be considered a violation of international law." The message is one that they will understand fully in Tokyo and Taipei, and which, I suspect, the principals in those capitals will agree with(bringing yet another possible perspective to the table by which to evaluate Mr. Abe's rearmament of Japan). The message was understood long ago in Jakarta and Rangoon. Even Tehran seems to "get it" to some degree.
And they have that base at the southern end of the Red Sea to reinforce the point. And China has cruise missiles too...
See you on the flip side...