ABE WELCOMES DUTERTE…October 30, 2016
Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte has been making headlines and waves lately for his increasingly caustic stance against the USSA, and his overtures to China amid the hotly contested issues in the South China Sea, so much so that there has even been speculation on the internet concerning just how long Mr. Duterte will be allowed to continue the attacks against Washington before he is heart-attacked and the Philippines is "spontaneously regime changed by indigenous freedom fighters which Washington supports." Of course, the problem is, Mr. Duterte thinks of his country as a sovereign nation (which it is), and Washington, in its globaloney fantasies, thinks all nations are obsolete(which they are not), all borders are lines on a map(which they aren't), and all places with bases are USSA spaces(which they're not).
The problem for Washington now of course is that the American lamestream media's credibility is so low, and Washington has played the regime change card so much, that no one would believe it, even in Manila where it still has many friends.
The other problem is that Mr. Duterte, behind his over-the-top rhetoric, appears to be playing a more cagey game, as this article shared by Mr. T.M. suggests:
Note the following:
He has insulted President Barack Obama, calling him the "son of a whore" and saying the Philippines can live without US assistance, though he walked back a statement in Beijing last week announcing a "separation" from the US.
On Tuesday in Japan, before a cheering audience of resident Filipinos, Duterte called Americans "stupid" -- but went out of his way to praise his hosts.
"Japan has really been our biggest helper," he said, pointing to help with an airport and road-building projects. "The fact is they are really so very kind."
Duterte told reporters before he left that he was keen to boost bilateral trade and was looking forward to meeting top Japanese executives.
"I will tell them clearly that the Philippines is open for business," he said, adding he wanted Japanese cooperation on key infrastructure projects.
If one didn't know better, one might speculate and conclude that Mr. Duterte is not only seeking to open up better relations with China and to seek Chinese investments in his country, but that, by following his summit with Mr. Xi Jinping, to do the same with Japan, in order to continue its aid to the Philippines. And again the key word in all these discussions is "infrastructure." The USSA builds bases, and can offer little else. China and Japan build airports and high speed rail. And so on. If the pattern continues, one should expect Mr. Duterte to make significant overtures to the other economic powerhouse in the region, Indonesia. In effect, Mr. Duterte appears to be trying to carefully position the Philippines between the two Asian economic powers, a dangerous game, but one that must be played if the Philippines is to become more independent of the USSA.
But there's something else being suggested in this article, something else lying between the lines once again, and this occurs toward the end of the article, after it notes that Mr. Duterte will also meet with Japanese Emperor Akihito:
Yoshihide Suga, Japan's top government spokesman, said on Wednesday that the government will continue to aid Philippine development, but he sidestepped whether relations with the US will be a summit topic.
He said Abe will seek "frank exchanges of views from the standpoint that Japan and the Philippines will continue to contribute to regional peace, stability and prosperity."
I suggest that the fact Mr. Duterte meets with Emperor Akihito indicates how strongly the Japanese view his visit, and the importance they place on it, and on maintaining good relations with the Philippines, and that brings us to the points made here: (1) that no indications of "whether relations with the US will be a summit topic" and (2) Mr. Abe will seek "frank exchanges" concerning regional security issues.
How might one parse all of this? Japan will, of course, be a "dutiful and honorable ally" of the USSA and relay the USSA's concerns to Mr. Duterte concerning those regional security issues.
... However, I strongly suspect that when the Japanese security services have removed the American bugs, and ensconced Mr. Duterte and Mr. Abe in the sound-proof room deep underground and away from snooping US lasers being bounced off windows, that the conversation might be somewhat different, namely, with both leaders agreeing that the USSA has become the primary unipolar threat to peace and security just about everywhere it has gone lately, and that talk will turn to the inevitable decline of the US empire, and the long-term need for other regional powers to step up to the plate. That "even more frank" discussion is likely to include indications that Japan's rearmament plans are designed to assuage American security concerns in the short term, while positioning Japan in the long term to be, with India, the other counterpoise to growing Chinese power in the region. As the article notes, Japan has already extended military aid to the Philippines, and in return for Japanese investments, one might expect that aid to be beefed up, perhaps even in the form of semi-permanent Japanese basing in the region.
If this reading of Mr. Abe's government sounds a bit outlandish, only recall that recently Mrs. Abe participated in demonstrations against the US base in Okinawa. we were told publicly of course that this was done without Mr. Abe's or his government's knowledge and approval. And if you believe that, there are several big bridges in Manhattan for sale, cheap.
And as for Mr. Duterte, how will we know if he is following this geopolitical agenda? Watch for overtures to Indonesia, Malaysia, and eventually, India and perhaps even Russia.
And as always, watch Mr. Abe's government very carefully.