NOW THAT THE FRENCH ELECTIONS ARE OVER, WHO GETS TO PLAY KARL DER ...

I almost have to laugh at the comic relief the European Union provides us.

It was the utopian fantasy of the post-war era, of the Adenauers and Mendez-Frances and Averill Harrimans and other nomenklaturachniks of the globaloney crowd: bigger and bigger federalism good, national economies, bad. Oh, and let's not forget, that the whole idea also found major support in the circles around Kaiser Wilhelm II, were articulated in a very inchoate form as a war aim by his Chancellor, Bettmann-Hollweg, in September 1914, and became the subject of detailed planning in the early 1940s by Reichbank president and finance minister Walter Funk, in a Nazi-I.G. Farben fantasia that looks all too much like the current bureaucratic monstrosity and tyranny in Brussels.  The fantasy was born, of course, because Europe had just been through two World Wars, the basic point of which was "the rest of the world has to gang up on Germany, fight it (and themselves) to exhaustion, to prevent it from becoming a world power, which it very much wants to be, and which we very much don't want it to be." Even that 1942 Walter Funk Reichsbank-I.G. Farben study on how to make a European Union under the dominance of Germany was a kind of back-handed admission that even the Nazis (or at least, that rare breed of them that were somewhat sane) recognized that the "we're-having-a-war-and-everyone's-invited-please-RSVP" approach wasn't working out quite according to the Meisterplan.  Throw in some Halford MacKinderisms about world islands, heartlands, and the absolute necessity for "the West" (France, Britain, and the USA) to prevent a Russo-German(and Chinese!) alliance - which would dominate the "world island" (Eurasia) and thence the world - stir and simmer over medium heat, and you have all the makings of a NATO stew.

It's that simmering NATO stew that brings me to today's thought-provoking op-ed piece at Zero Hedge, which Mr. H.B. discovered and shared:

"Zumutungen!" Buyer's Remorse In France, Impossible Situation For Germany

The problem, if one reads the quotations of Ambrose Evans-Pritchard cited in the article carefully, is the German economy:

Emmanuel Macron’s lightning conquest of France has put Germany in an awkward spot. French voters have picked an apostle of Europe and an arch-defender of the Franco-German axis. While this is welcomed with jubilation by some in Berlin, it raises thorny questions that others would prefer left unanswered.

He plans Nordic labor reforms, easier collective bargaining rules, and the sort of tax shake-up that German leaders have long demanded. The quid pro quo is that Berlin must agree to eurozone fiscal union, and cut its corrosive current account surplus – now 8.6 percent of GDP and in breach of EU rules.

“If France is not reformed, we will not be able to regain the confidence of the Germans,” Mr. Macron told Ouest-France. “After that, Germany must ask whether its own situation is tenable. It is accumulating surpluses which are neither good for its own economy nor for the eurozone.”

He wants a eurozone finance minister and budget, with joint debt, and a banking union with shared deposit insurance, all legitimized by a new parliament for the currency bloc. It implies a unitary eurozone superstate.

This calls Berlin’s bluff. The German elites often argue that they cannot accept such radical proposals as long as other eurozone states scoff at budget rules and fail to put their house in order.

The Handelsblatt accused Mr. Macron of “Teuton-bashing” over the trade surplus. The German Council of Economic Experts holds defiantly to the national view that trade surpluses are proof of virtue. It sees EMU debt-pooling as a slippery slope towards a “Transferunion”.

And this, of course, is the simmering NATO stew dilemma: NATO, according to the vowel-impaired Mr. Zbigniew Brzezinski in his Grand Chessboard, was as much about containing German power as it was about containing Soviet power. For the German governments from Adenauer to Schmidt, it was as much about allowing Germany to rearm, without having to assume the mantle of pan-European defense, and growing their economy. NATO, on this view, was a cynical "gentleman's" agreement: everyone knew what the other side was up to, and everyone agreed not to talk about it (think Molotov-Ribbentrop pact here) and pretend like everyone was friends now(think Molotov-Ribbentrop pact again). The same, I suspect, is really what the early Common Market, and now the EU, is all about: for the rest of Europe, as revealed by M. Macron's remarks, the EU is about contriving a mechanism to contain German economic and manufacturing power and ultimately German sovereignty (You have too much surplus!), while for the Germans, it has always been about the German economic domination of Europe (think Bettmann-Hollweg and Walter Funk) until everyone else (mainly France) gets their spendthrift houses in order; the hidden caveat being that Germany is perfectly happy not to have everyone else get their manufacturing and fiscal houses in order, because Germany can retain its sovereignty and dominate the situation.

And in the background, there lingers that suspicion that there has been a quiet and covert economic war going on between the USA and Germany: heavy fines on German companies, and American troop transfers to Clemenceau's old cordon sanitaire in Poland and Romania, which we're told are in response to Russia, but which I suspect are equally targeted at Germany.

It's about who gets to play Karl der Grosse... er... Charlemagne.

After all the fine verbiage, treaties, globaloney sentiment, and after all the centuries, it is still ultimately about Realpolitik.

There will be now an immense tug-of-war between Paris and Berlin, with Washington and Moscow as the interested parties. Where it goes is anyone's guess, but there are essentially three broad options: (1) A European super-state, which will still be dominated by Germany both economically and militarily; (2) a "rump" EU, resulting in Germany abandoning the European project should France (and the hidden player, America) press too hard; this will result in massive German rearmament and a vigorous eastward foreign policy with Russia and China (which we've seen signs of already); (3) A "rump" EU resulting in France's abandonment of the European project, leaving the rest to be dominated by Germany.  Of course, there will be several shades and "micropositions" between all of these as well. Add to this the growing discontent in Eastern Europe over the immigration crisis, and one has all the potential makings for a potential massive geopolitical realignment in Europe.

This is one to watch. And one can expect Washington - true to its heritage - to back the weaker continental power (France) against the stronger (Germany) in classic British style. But it must do so delicately, lest it provoke Germany to solve its problems in "the traditional way", to paraphrase Chancellor Kohl's comments prior to the crack-up of Czechoslovakia. (Is it just me, or does anyone else have a sinking feeling of deja vu here?)

See you on the flip side...

 

 

14 thoughts on “ NOW THAT THE FRENCH ELECTIONS ARE OVER, WHO GETS TO PLAY KARL DER ...”

  1. Macron is nothing more than a boy in the world of geopolitics (if my read sources are correct); he has not yet been rightly informed about many things; if my read sources are correct he’s a Rothschild puppet (gosh!)-

    Larry

  2. I’ll stick with my guess on predicive skills until a better guess comes along. Vomito. And some of y’all. Ur missin the point of all war. Mr global wants genocide on larger scales to allow greater consolidation of wealth n power. All this play acting political puppetry is just to make his future pr look plausible to the few surviving progeny. How else can u splain the point of art at the denver airport or the georgia guidestones or how many monuments hidden in plain site in dc (esp manley hall’s) or that entire city in kazahkstan…?

    Who the alleged victor is hardly matters. The real power will be cashing ginormous checks decades later in argentina on deutsche bank.

    1. In any n all events rottenchildren et al will be telling their next gens how awful the big war was n how they did their part to make the world safe for…..

  3. It is difficult to see the members of the Eurozone not merging into a kind of United States of Europe, in the manner envisaged by Churchill in the 1946.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efpGFRvlseA

    But let us face it, Western Europe was always united political and economically (Holy Roman Empire, Germanic Customs Union, Monetary Union, etc).

  4. Well, among those EU founders you very conspicuously forgot von Coudenhove -Kalgeri, to whom we owe not only the Ode to Joy anthem that Micron played before the Marseillaise, but also his eponymous “plan” for a united Europe, brought about by destroying the integrity of the population (the “Volk”) by means of miscegenation: “The man of the future will be of mixed race. Today’s races and classes will gradually disappear owing to the vanishing of space, time, and prejudice. The Eurasian-Negroid race of the future, similar in its appearance to the Ancient Egyptians, will replace the diversity of peoples with a diversity of individuals.”

    Divide and rule on steroids as it were, with a “gracious Providence” (aka Jahweh the psychopath) offering the Jews as Europe’s “spiritual nobility” and pure governing (read: master) race. Kinda makes Hitler blush in its audacity, no? And doubtless the Fuhrer in exile down there in Argentina was furious about C-G’s copying his own Aryan master race concept but — irony of ironies — swapping out Aryans for Jews, and also for C-K’s plan’s stunning success, built on his own great failure.

    1. I thought the “mongrel” to put it unpolite of the human race = the white man.
      I have a fair amount of Asian blood flowing thru my veins but outwardly look caucasian.

      I am no scientist but would laugh myself silly after all that mixing the end result would be predominantly caucasian and not that beautifully Nubian sfinks like person.

      It seems all bait to get the purer races watered down and nothing else.

  5. Robert Barricklow

    Gold/Price discovery[real] vs
    Private Intl Banking Cartel[fake]?

    The Silk Road[real/building] vs
    The EU/USA[virtual/destruction]?
    Is Europe going to break apart into Sovereign Nations & participate in the world’s greatest infrastructure project ?

    1. Robert Barricklow

      Or, are the RottenChilds behind the Silk Road curtain?
      Is it all there is
      a debt-based economy
      on a dead rock called Earth?
      Squeezing the life
      out of “our” remaining Living Earth [economies]

      Is it just a breath away from passing out…
      a mere amber’s spark away fading out
      of “our” spiritual beings’ prescient tearful eye[s]?

      Or, can that spark of living defiance
      catch fire like there’s no tomorrow?

      It is not only
      literally a matter of life or death
      but of a living spirit
      that defies death
      to its last living breath on the spark of…

      1. Robert Barricklow

        Its either we’re living beings
        in a living universe

        Or…

        corporate robots
        exploiting dead rocks

        What kind of seeds will this Earth carry upon the solar winds
        throughout empty space? or living universe[s]?

  6. marcos toledo

    The best chance Europe had to get it’s house in order was under Napoleon Bonaparte. All he had to do was consolidate he’s conquest then he went a blew at the gates of Moscow. The Barbarians in Brussels are beyond redemption they haven’t the intellect to realize they’re out of the depth country simple they’re stupid.

  7. Vomito Blanco

    I’m starting to see how brilliant the Islamization of Germany really is. It is the mental rearmament of Germany. How else could Germany get out from under it’s collective war guilt then be injecting itself with a militant religious ideology that all Germans will be coerced into submitting to and probably find surprisingly comfortable? What is more suited to the German mindset then jihad? And they have plausible deniability for the mass conversion of this violent expansionist religion as it was forced upon them by foreign financiers who were dabbling in a social experiment to dilute the country and thereby neuter it in the name of their unending war on the German people. Moreover, in the greatest of ironies, the ancestors of these financiers actually engineered Islam as part of a past divide and conquer strategy. Now it may return as the greatest of all their Frankenstein monsters once it has taken hold in the already warlike minds of the Germans. Too precious.

    Maybe the increase in German panzers isn’t defensive but offensive? Maybe the Fourth Reich will really be a caliphate that will swallow the EU and eventually attempt reconquer the world? And if a German caliph really wants to turn lemons into lemonade, he could take all the muslim immigrants, train and arm them, and then send them back to the Middle East to expand the Caliphate there. So long Greater Israel project!

    Conquering the US would be relatively easy as the politicians go to the highest bidder and the populous will do whatever the tv tells them. Pay the politicians to convert (show them the Koran doesn’t forbid pizza toppings) and then inundate the airwaves with music, movies, tv shows and fashion showing the tv heads of America the joys of islamics culture (already happening?). They’ll convert in droves, and those who don’t can be persuaded with debt jubilee, a FEMA camp, or threats of beheading by their converted neighbors.

    Russia would be the big problem and this no doubt would be an apocalyptic war that would make the Great Patriot War and Operation Barbarosa look like patty cakes. Asia would probably sit on the sidelines hoping the caucasians destroy each other once and for all, but it will be big trouble if the German Caliphate prevails. At that point the Germans would probably have the might o roll over all of Asia and turn the entire planet into a caliphate. After that the sky is the limit, or isn’t, and the jihad can be carried out into the galaxy.

    I’m not sure if this is what Walter Funk and all these scheming nazis had in mind, but the end result of German dominance will have been achieved. Welcome to the future— hijabs and lederhosen.

  8. I still say that France is exhibiting battered wife syndrome behavior vis à vis Deutscheland …
    “..mais chéri, pourquoi me bats-tu ? Je t’aime …. tu me frappes … ahh”

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