IS THERE A QUIET WAR GOING ON BETWEEN THE USA AND GERMANY? PART TWO

Yesterday I blogged about my long-held suspicion that there has been a quiet war going on between the USA and Germany since ca. 1988, or, if one wants to pin that watershed moment more precisely, since the German reunification.

I've pointed out, for some time, that German and American interests are really on a collision course: Germany's economy is export driven, and turning to the vast markets of Asia and the Pacific, while German industry requires the energy and natural resources of Russia. Meanwhile, America's empire is over-extended, its military technology is being challenged by China and Russia, and both of those nations are thermonuclear powers and field substantial conventional militaries of their own. America is pivoting to the Pacific, at the same time that Germany is (and, as we have noted elsewhere, Britain).

The "quiet war" hypothesis certainly gains corroboration from Mr. Trump's remarks to Frau Merkel during her recent visit to the USA, when Mr. Trump famously presented her a "bill" for military services rendered, and for Germany to do more for its own defense.  Frau Merkel, as we saw yesterday, has responded in kind, by pointing out that the UK and USA are no longer reliable as allies, and that Europe - meaning Germany - would have to strike out on its own and take more control of its own future and security. As I pointed out yesterday, this was not simply the Chancellorin reacting, on the spur of the moment, in a flash of temper. Rather, it reflects a long, and gradual, turn in German policy that was announced a few years ago by the then German Foreign Minister,  Steinmeir.  Frau Merkel simply seized upon the recent disagreements with the USA and the Trump administration as a crisis of opportunity to cement a process that was under way prior to the last American presidential election cycle. If there were doubts in Berlin - as there surely were - between the "Atlancists" and the "Asianists" prior to this year, those doubts have, in my opinion, been resolved.

There's another reason, however, for the growing doubts in Berlin than simply Mr. Trump's pulling out of the Paris Climate Accord, and that's the whole issue of German-American trade, as this article shared (once again) by Mr. H.B. points out:

Trump Slams "Very Bad" Germans For Selling Millions Of Cars In US: "We Will Stop This"

I hope that the reader caught one very significant statement in the previous article that is very important to the geopolitics of the emerging decade:

The German trade surplus rose to a record €235 billion ($284 billion) last year, while the US trade deficit widened in January to its highest level since March 2012.Excluding the EU, Germany is the third largest exporter in the world, after China and the US.
(Emphasis added)

Let that sink in for a moment: one billion Chinese account for the second largest export economy in the world, approximately three hundred and twenty-five million Americans account for the largest export economy, and about eighty million Germans (and immigrants) account for the third. Do the math, and this means that person-for-person, the German economy is enormous.

This brings us to the heart of the geopolitical issue: the German strategic problem is greater now than at any time in its prior history: (1) an enormous economy(if viewed on a per-capita basis), perched precariously on top of (2) a relatively narrow population base and even more precariously on top of (3) a lack of strategic natural resources, which can only be obtained - by commerce or conquest - in the East. What this means is that that lack of population base has to be supplied by the rest of Europe, and that in order to maintain this economy, and secure its supplies, like it or not Germany must expand its military capability.

And this at a time the American President is complaining of the enormous amount of trade Germany does with its auto market in the USA. Reading between the lines as they must be doing in Berlin, this means perhaps either tariffs, or US subsidies to the auto industry, or both, either of which will make high-tech German products like autos more costly in the USA, and necessitate a shift in trading emphasis, once again, to the East.

So, with that in mind, consider this article from Business Insider's Elisabeth Braw:

Germany is quietly building a European army under its command

Consider the implications:

But this year, far from the headlines, Germany and two of its European allies, the Czech Republic and Romania, quietly took a radical step down a path toward something that looks like an EU army while avoiding the messy politics associated with it: They announced the integration of their armed forces.

Romania's entire military won't join the Bundeswehr, nor will the Czech armed forces become a mere German subdivision. But in the next several months each country will integrate one brigade into the German armed forces: Romania's 81st Mechanized Brigade will join the Bundeswehr's Rapid Response Forces Division, while the Czech 4th Rapid Deployment Brigade, which has served in Afghanistan and Kosovo and is considered the Czech Army's spearhead force, will become part of the Germans' 10th Armored Division.

In doing so, they'll follow in the footsteps of two Dutch brigades, one of which has already joined the Bundeswehr's Rapid Response Forces Division and another that has been integrated into the Bundeswehr's 1st Armored Division. According to Carlo Masala, a professor of international politics at the University of the Bundeswehr in Munich, "The German government is showing that it's willing to proceed with European military integration" — even if others on the continent aren't yet.

As the article points out, in part this is due to the Germans' well-known fear of too much defense spending. But the rest of Europe is unlikely to be terribly willing to pay for the common defense of Europe, and of all that German industry, without the Germans doing the same.

Mr. Trump has now provided the opportunity, and Frau Merkel appears to have seized it. Watch for the plans to continue under this model, and to do so under expanding German exports, and defense spending. The model is not, as the article indicates, ad hoc, nor is it going to go away. I suspect, rather, that in coming years it will expand dramatically.

See you on the flip side...

 

16 thoughts on “IS THERE A QUIET WAR GOING ON BETWEEN THE USA AND GERMANY? PART TWO”

  1. Hey! Easy on the abba-bashing. Even if it IS jewish for ‘Father’, they wore freakish clothes and the entire country is now irreversibly damaged that music still stands up. Sometimes I wonder if, as a girl of 7, I’d seen the outfits I’d have been hospitalised with mirth. We all know who owned them though, and ‘dressed’ them and handed them the lyrics…

  2. If we take as a given “Trump was groomed for his role” as a follow-on to “Obama was groomed for his role,” then I could see Trump as essentially ‘acting the part’ for turning Germany east. Assuming “Trump was groomed for his role,” then he is playing the uncouth, undependable ‘varmint’ that is the exact opposite of (the role of) Putin. The German people must be looking from one man to the other, and going “Hmmm.” What a perfect way to generate grass-roots support for Merkel’s ‘turn’, and to cancel-out any remaining animosity towards Russia (USSR) regarding WWII. Masterful…

    “Romania’s 81st Mechanized Brigade will join the Bundeswehr’s Rapid Response Forces Division, while the Czech 4th Rapid Deployment Brigade, which has served in Afghanistan and Kosovo and is considered the Czech Army’s spearhead force, will become part of the Germans’ 10th Armored Division … two Dutch brigades, one of which has already joined the Bundeswehr’s Rapid Response Forces Division and another that has been integrated into the Bundeswehr’s 1st Armored Division.”

    Blitzkrieg preps? Nah. More like co-opting the chain of command. No military offensives; Germany learned from WWII.

    One way Germany got to be the economic powerhouse it is today was by pouring Everything into economic growth. Military was shorted, quite intentionally. A good move, considering the Cold War never went Hot. Also, not engaging in ruinously-expensive foreign wars (except with token forces). Also, not allowing venture capitalists to destroy the home economy. I could see Joseph’s deep-state powers assuring German leaders of the ‘wisdom’ in doing all of this…

  3. marcos toledo

    Birds of a feather trend to flock together the Germanic and Turkish barbarians have more in common with each other. Mediterranean culture, civilization was never their thing anyway. Savage tribal racism has always lay just under surface of the ruling elites of these people. Which explains their animus towards Russia the heir of Greek, Roman culture. They also despise North African ,Western-Asian, Persian culture, civilization as well. I smell the stench of the Third Reich rising from it’s grave with this new Euro army.

  4. Vomito Blanco

    I have problems with the presupposition that somewhere in Germany there are elites, monocle wearing Prussian junkers and Bavarians counts and industrialists, who are concerned with the future well being of the German volk. Clearly the immigration invasion and the long term danger this poses to native German people and culture flies in the face of such nationalistic strategic planning.

    Unless… these nationalistic German elites, possibly recalcitrant nazis, have latched on to what Mr. Hitler once confided to Albert Speer: “The Mohammedan religion too would have been much more compatible to us than Christianity. Why did it have to be Christianity with its meekness and flabbiness?” Perhaps the current German elite does in fact want to see their entire nation go the way of Islam. Hilter did express admiration for the muslim military tradition and later directed Himmler to initiate muslim SS divisions as a matter policy. He believed Islam was inherently a militaristic, expansionist, totalitarianist, and disciplinary religion whereas Christianity, in the opinion of the Fuhrer, was soft and passive and incompatible to the majority of his ideals. Mr. Hitler also stated to Mr. Speer that the world would be Mohammedan today if the Arabs had taken France in the Battle of Tours. He even suggest to his confidant that Islamized Germany would have stood at the head of this Islamic empire.

    Secondly, maybe the new German elites have decided genetic diversity is what the German nation needs after the failure of their Aryan experiment and WWII. Maybe they even see the traditional German race as dying, perhaps because of the trauma of their defeat and now they need new blood. Maybe these elites are so twisted they believe the German nation needs to be more savage and this can only be accomplished through the injection of non-caucasian DNA which they might perceive as being naturally more vicious. The Russians have their traces of Mongol blood coursing through their veins and the new German aristocracy might view this as the key as to how the Russians were able to conquer Germany and rape millions of German women with ease. The German soldiers did not commit this atrocity on a mass scale when they invaded Russia and this might be be viewed as a shortcoming and the reason why the Germans can’t conquer the world no matter how hard they have tried in the past (despite the technological efficiency in which they carried out their genocidal acts in WWII but which these new German plotters may feel fell short of the mark— a weakness as they didn’t go far enough and provide the victory the German nation sought).

    So maybe just maybe Germany’s elite are still doing the Third Reich’s bidding in other ways as well.

    1. “…the world would be Mohammedan today if the Arabs had taken France in the Battle of Tours.”

      The world turns in strange ways. There was an excellent historical series on the Mongols a decade-back or so. Formidable folk.

      One ‘strangeness’ that stood out for me was that the Mongol forces had just totally wiped-out two massive European armies (20,000 and 40,000 dead, respectively). The path was clear all the way to the English Channel. Nothing was left, militarily, to stop them. Then, at that pivotal time, the old Khan died. His armies ‘turned around’ to negotiate the political-changes around the next leader. Europe had the time to regroup.

      We could have easily been speaking pidgin-Mandarin, without that historical oddity. A timeline ‘tweak’?

  5. “‘(and immigrants)”

    that phrase alone… I’m rolling on the floor here.. At least I NOW know why the immigrants have been let in in such droves..

    The Elite cant stay in their Ivory Towers and eat Solvent if they actually have to go and work in the factories and underworld..
    All they need to do now is find some charismatic immigrant woman, make a robot of her and use the facsimile to convince the meat that working like a Horse in Animal Farm is the way forward…
    Fritz Lang is a happy man..

    1. I love the SF knowledge-base of the readers here. (And the ability to integrate that received-wisdom into little ‘tweaks’.) Thanks, all!

    1. Right on Basta, according to at least part of the German oligarchs, the misnamed EU (plus the Ukraine of course) are Lebensraum. Now there is the not so small detail that “NATO”-controlled Austria, Baltic States, Poland and Romania – plus not-“NATO” controlled Hungary and Serbia – are strenuously resisting weaponised migration. Germany as set up “reception camps” in Bundeswehr bases. This tends to suggest that repatriation could be enacted at the drop of a hat.
      Unless, as some website members have suggested, there really IS a bizarre deliberate social enginerringexperiment under way to inject new DNA lines into the Volk to “strengthen” it and not “destroy” it….
      I again launch an appeal to German language readers to look out for hints of these various scenarios, which might emerge not so much in local AlexJones types but rather in articles by some “Herr Professor” who may be more influential than is generally thought… there might be a lot of stuff hiding behind oh-so-politically-correct rhetoric.

  6. Where have all those German Turks gone, long time passing? They are still there of course, and are said to number 2.5 to 4 million (source: Wikipedia). There HAVE been a very few of them interviewed as expressing horror about the weaponised migration underway in Germany that is targeting them, too. My German is a little sketchy, maybe some other website members have found some serious discussion on this topic in Germany. Or maybe such discussion is (from the oligarchs’ point of view) “Verboten”.

    1. Vomito Blanco

      If I can put on my yarmulke and think outside the gentile box for moment, if I were a zio-anglo schemer and was concerned with the rising power of Germany and the threat of a German-Russian alliance, I would take a chapter out of Hitler’s playbook itself and have Erdogan accuse Germany of persecuting Turks living in Germany. I would then coax Erdogan into launching an invasion to capture Berlin and fulfill the dreams of muslim invaders before him. I would feed him with promises of being the sultan of a new Ottoman Empire that would finally control Europe.

      I have war-gamed this in my mind and considering the feeble state of the German men, the Turks would have a good chance of conquering Germany. Germany would have the technological advantage but Turkey has a fifth column in place and I believe a larger army. The Turks would also be given NATO nukes (and maybe a couple from Israel as well) and this would deter Germany and their turn-of -the -screw nuclear arsenal. Ideally, for Britain and Israel would be if both these nations annihilated one another, but a long, drawn out bloody siege where both nations are sapped would suffice.

      Turkey would have little resistance until they hit Austria. They might even be able to pick up allies along the way. Austria could possible be neutered if the mass of the brainwashed Austrian population could be convinced it wasn’t virtuous to stand in the way of the invading muslims. If Turkey does prevail, the zio-anglos could initiate stage two and then have Christian Russia attack muslim Turkey.

  7. anakephalaiosis

    We understand that German politicians do not want to upset the applecart, because of the industrial Rottenchild bombing of German civilians. It is deep trauma in the soul.

    But the American rape of Iceland is not easily forgotten. We swear oaths by blood in the Nordic countries. We have always done that historically.
    https://www.lpthe.jussieu.fr/~roehner/oci.pdf

    We, in the Nordic countries, have more freedom of speech than anywhere else in the world, because we do not care about consequences. Vikings have war in the blood.

    Come what may, and make our day, there will be hell to pay.

    1. “We, in the Nordic countries, have more freedom of speech than anywhere else in the world, because we do not care about consequences. Vikings have war in the blood.”

      This is a joke, right? One word: Sweden. Most emasculated, brainwashed country on earth.

      1. Phil the Thrill

        Mr. Anakawhatever is feeling perky today; maybe it was last night’s moon? Usually war fever isn’t boiling in his blood. About Sweden, now–they DO make some great music over there, girlie men or no.

        1. ABBA FTW! Singing falsetto in all those macho lurex and sequin Ice Capades outfits.
          Some fierce Vikings there, I tell ya!

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