It's Pearl Harbor day.
Eighty years ago today naval and air forces of Imperial Japan struck America's Pacific Fleet and sank several battleships, but in a weird "coincidence" that has been pondered ever since, none of the USA's fleet aircraft carriers were in port during the attack, and survived to go on and sink many of Japan's fleet carriers - some of them having been involved in the Pearl Harbor attack - six months later at the Battle of Midway, effectively breaking the Imperial Japanese Navy's offensive power. That odd coincidence has led many ever since to conclude that the American carriers' absence from Pearl Harbor was not an accident, and that President Franklin Roosevelt, or at least some of his closest advisors, knew of the attack ahead of time and contrived to allow the attack to happen, keeping the precious carriers out of port that day.
The reader may number me among those who think that Pearl Harbor was a classic LIHOP - Let It Happen On Purpose - operation.
Which brings us to the USA's recent Afghanistan debacle, where several American citizens were left stranded in that blighted country, along with billions of dollars of military equipment. At the time, no one could make sense of it, except now, there's an article over at Zero Hedge which was spotted by E.G., and which appears to be asking the right questions:
Note the following statements:
The Afghan side is claiming that Iranian border patrols crossed into Afghan territory, resulting in an armed confrontation and firefight. "Amaj News based in Kabul also quoted local sources as saying that Iranian forces used heavy weapons and the Taliban dispatched armored American Humvees to confront Iran’s border troops," regional news source Iran International observed.
In addition to the American Humvees, ironically enough, it's also likely that US weapons and ammunition were used by the Taliban militants, given the hardline Islamist group had last August captured many millions of dollars worth of US equipment as the Pentagon rapidly withdrew from the country.
The Taliban advance so near the border had placed Iran's border forces on high alert, which included deployments of elite IRGC units in some places. At the time the IRGC said it would crackdown on any possible drug smuggling or any unauthorized breaches of Iran's border.
So there you have it: (1) Taliban forces used some of that left-behind American military equipment, including ammunition, to fight Iranians. That in turn implies that some of the weapons the Taliban was using was possibly if not probably the left-behind weapons, and (2) Iran's response was because of a fear of possible drug smuggling into that country.
The question posed is a rather obvious one: was an inevitable Taliban-Iranian clash the ultimate reason that the American withdrawal was so badly handled by the Brandonenko misadministration? Answer: we don't know. However, given the history of the US government indulging LIHOP operations, it wouldn't be surprising. After all, some would argue that what got America into Afghanistan in the first place was a LIHOP operation - 9/11 - just like what got America into World War Two may have been a LIHOP operation: Pearl Harbor.
How to test this hypothesis and high octane speculation? Simple: if this recent border clash was not a one-off, but continues into the future with increasing tensions and further similar events, then it becomes a much more plausible speculation.
See you on the flip side...