THE SIEGE OF SEVASTOPOL, 3.0, OR IS THAT 4.0?
...Well, it's happening once again, and right before our eyes: the third Siege of Sevastopol (or the fourth, if you're counting the Soviet recapture of the city in 1944 as the third). The city with its Severnaya Bay is, with Odessa, Batu, and Constanza, one of the most important port cities on the Black Sea, and some would argue, the most important due to its north central location and terrain that admits of fortifications and defense. Indeed, it is as a fortress city that the place has gone down in history as the scene of some famous sieges, of the French, British, and Ottoman Turks during the Crimean war - immortalized in the poem "The Charge of the Light Brigade" - to Colonel General Erich von Manstein's 11th Army's siege of the city after blasting it, and most of its "impregnable" fortifications, off the map with some of the most colossal artillery pieces ever fielded, and the Second World War's largest artillery and air bombardment ever seen, in the 1942 prelude to the German summer offensive. Two years later, the Soviets returned the favor and retook the city after learning their "artillery lessons" from the Germans in two world wars.
They were very good students...
In the case of the Crimean war, the Western Allies and their Ottoman lackey completely failed to punish and crack up Tsar Nicholas I's empire, and hovering in the background, of course, was the religion issue. The failure of the Allied coalition in that war prepared the way for the subsequent march of Tsar Alexander II's armies all the way to the gates of Constantinople a couple of decades later, and a hurried and nervous reaction from the European Powers to prevent the total collapse of the Ottoman Empire and a Russian controlled Dardanelles and Bosporus.
It's with that short history lesson as a background that the following story should be viewed, for make no mistake, the Crimean peninsula is Russia's unsinkable aircraft carrier in the crucial Black Sea, and its chief city and port, Sevastopol, has been the most important base for its naval power projection into the Black Sea and, for that matter, into the Mediterranean. This history of the city tells one important, unavoidable, and obvious lesson: Russia views any foreign occupation of the Crimea and its principal city and harbor, Sevastopol, as an existential threat and will defend it to the last (story courtesy of V.T. with our thanks):
Note the following, clear message:
Russia on Wednesday accused Ukraine’s Western allies of helping plan and conduct last week’s missile strike on the Black Sea Fleet’s headquarters on the annexed Crimean Peninsula.
“There is no doubt that the attack had been planned in advance using Western intelligence means, NATO satellite assets and reconnaissance planes and was implemented upon the advice of American and British security agencies and in close coordination with them,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said at a briefing.
Moscow has repeatedly claimed that the U.S. and its NATO allies have effectively become involved in the conflict by supplying weapons to Ukraine and providing it with intelligence information and helping plan attacks on Russian facilities.
All that we're lacking in the latest siege of Sevastopol, version 3.0 (or 4.0), are the ships and soldiers of the Ottoman navy, and the French and British "volunteers"... oh wait, there are the Ukrainians for that, but, bad news, they're running out of Ukrainian bodies. That's the grim, and sad, and tragic, reality of where the west is. And the sad fact of the matter, is that the history tells us we've been here before, and our results now are no more successful than our results then.
And just for good measure, the article repeats what should have by now been a message western leaders have memorized:
Zakharova’s statements follow comments made Tuesday by Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy head of Russia’s Security Council, who said the arrival of American-made Abrams tanks in Ukraine and a U.S. promise to supply an unspecified number of long-range ATACMS missiles would push NATO closer to a direct conflict with Russia.
It's that "direct conflict with Russia" that seems to disturb everyone of common sense on both sides of the conflict, everyone except, that is, the deluded and insane leadership of the west, because they have no common sense (Exhibit A: Bai Den Dzhao and his whole famdamnly and abyssally corrupt regime, or Exhibit B: the non-entities in the Reichskanzlei in Berlin, or Exhibit C: "There is no such thing as French culture" Macron). These stupid people seem to think that Russia's warnings about horizontal escalation are all smoke and mirrors, because (they think) Russia has no escalation options other than the full nuclear option, and rest assured, they're also thinking "no one would be that crazy so we're safe and we can do whatever we want..."
Wrong. For one thing, the "nuclear option" itself has changed dramatically since the heyday of the cold war. Missiles no longer are "accurate" if they land within a few hundred yards or feet of a target and discharge their megatons to destroy it. Now - as the West is finding out the hard way in the Ukraine - it's dealing with an opponent who can also drop his missiles down a chimney.... no nukes needed.... and that opponent has drones, and cyber warfare capability, and nasty engineered viruses too. The only deadly weapons of mass destruction he appears to lack is Big Pharma. But other than that, he can just as easily target the "terrorist leaders" of the west with drones or mess up their cyber-systems, as they can him.
And if the history of his involvement in the Crimea is any indicator, the very last thing the insanity ruling the West should do is to insist on its evacuation by Russia. The only way to do that is to go in, all guns blazing (and bring the biggest ones you've got) like Colonel-General von Manstein.
And even then, don't be surprised if the Russians return the favor...
The only question remaining in this drama is: Are the Russians accepting suggestions for their drone list?
...See you on the flip side...
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