TWO CAN PLAY THE COVERT OPERATIONS GAME: RUSSIA CREATES NATIONAL GUARD, ALLEGED TO BE EXPANDING CELLS IN EUROPE

TWO CAN PLAY THE COVERT OPERATIONS GAME: RUSSIA CREATES NATIONAL ...

April 22, 2016 By Joseph P. Farrell

There's been an interesting, but entirely predictable, development in Russia in recent weeks, and regular readers here will have come to expect it. For years I've been predicting that America's foreign policy of the post-9/11 years, which has relied increasingly on covert operations, false flag events, and non-governmental sponsorship of revolutionary groups such as in the Ukraine, was a self-defeating policy. For one thing, such covert operations, in the age of the internet, are increasingly difficult to execute successfully, for a whole global cottage industry has grown up, parsing and analyzing such events almost as soon as they occur. You'll also recall that in some blogs on this website, I've raised the possibility that the strange events in the San Francisco Bay area of California, with the cutting of internet cables in precise locations, or the incident involving a power substation at the southern end of Silicon Valley in which what were apparently a very professional team knocked out the substation before local law enforcement could respond, were potentially foreign covert operations.

In this light, consider the following developments:

National Guard to get license for peacekeeping operations abroad

Kremlin Said Organizing Secret Military Units in Germany, Other Western Countries

The creation of Russia's new interior national guard has called forth some commentary, and of course, most of the west sees it (or rather, has seized upon it as a story of opportunity to demonize Mr. Putin once again) as a kind of Russian version of the Nazi Brownshirts, i.e., as the creation of a private army for Mr. Putin. Of course, on the face of it this is ridiculous. More sobering analyses have been offered by The Saker (on his website) and others that take the much more reasonable position that this is the inevitable response to the potential for a USA-sponsored "color revolution" or covert op against Mr. Putin and the Russian government in general.  In short, this guard is the "anti-covert ops squad."

I suggest however, that the key context for interpreting the first article might lie in the second article, which has this intriguing bit of information(I'm citing the whole article here):

Germany’s Bild has published excerpts from a new book by Boris Reitschuster titled Putin’s Secret War that suggests that Moscow is organizing special military units inside Germany and other Western countries that the Kremlin could use to destabilize these states in the event of a crisis.

Although Reitschuster’s claims are disputed, one indication that they likely deserve to be taken seriously is that when his materials appeared in Bild on Monday, hackers immediately took down his email account.
According to Reitschuster, the units which have a membership of 300 in Germany alone are organized as sports clubs but are led by Russian GRU and military officers according to an order given by Vladimir Putin to create such diversionary groups in Germany and other countries of Europe.
Reitschuster says that this organization, known as “the System,” is a potentially important resource for Putin “in his secret war against the West.” Members of these units have exercises in the Swiss Alps and the Czech Republic and often go to Russia for advanced training.
According to the German publication, members of “the System” are “active in the ranks of right extremist sects, the right-wing radical movement European Patriots Against the Islamization of the West (Pegida), and in disinformation campaigns among Germans from Russia.”
Such cells are nothing new for Russia, for throughout the Cold War it was simply assumed by most intelligence analysts that these cells were in existence both in Europe and North America, and one can only assume that Russia would have maintained at least some of these cells in existence in spite of the ending of the Cold War. THe idea that Russia would be reactivating or increasing such cells in the wake of the advent of Cold War 2.0 should not therefore, be all that surprising.
But there is, I suspect, perhaps an entirely different reason that Russia might be taking these steps, and here once again I am going to step way out onto the end of the twig, and present a bit of high octane speculation whose weight vastly exceeds the evidence of the twig supporting it. I'm going to suggest that another ostensible purpose of such cells might not be to de-stabilize the West in the event of "international crisis," but rather, to re-stabilize it. There are two factors behind my thinking here, the first historical, and the second a contemporary geopolitical and cultural one. Historically, I am reminded of the behavior of Tsar Alexander I, whose Russian armies swept from Moscow to the gates of Paris itself as part of the grand coalition that eventually brought down Napoleon Bonaparte and restored "the old order" in Europe, and then went home. Alexander, unlike Stalin, realized that a Russian attempt to occupy Europe would simply ultimately fail, and ultimately be counterproductive for Russia.
The much more important consideration here is what is now happening in Europe with the refugee crisis and the growing popular revolt against it in European countries. In this light, Russia hardly needs sleeper cells to destabilize Europe; Frau Merkel has done a good enough job of that on her own already. In this light, and in the current geopolitical situation, and with its economy weakened, Russia can hardly afford nor welcome a continuing destabilization of Europe. The possibility arises, therefore, that if the refugee crisis should - perish the thought - reach the stage of actual "civil revolt" in European countries between their native populations and "foreign cultures," that these cells could be called upon to restore order. After all, we've been watching Russia repeatedly play the "culture card," in recent months, most recently in a major way with Patriarch Kirill of Moscow's joint declaration with Pope Francis I. And repeatedly, we have heard the Russian Foreign Minister Mr. Lavrov, up to President Putin himself and other Russian government spokemen, stress the idea of the integrity of the nation-state, and the necessity for such nations to determine their own polity, culture, and policy. And it has, with its Syrian intervention, demonstrated that it will use military force to oppose groups opposed to such principles.
See you on the flip side...