GUEST POST: FIRST THE END, THEN THE BEGINNING
(This week is a really unusual week since we've had two guest submissions by regular readers here, so this weekend I am dedicating to these guest posts, and will resume my posting this coming week. Here's an intriguing post from Ms. K.M.):
THE PULSE MODEL AND THE ORIGIN OF SPECIES
Paleobiology is the study of biological entities and environments from the distant past. While many scientists have convinced themselves that they “have a pretty good picture” of say, the last 8 million years in terms of the fossil record, a survey into the topic underscores the sparsity of the fossil record and how resistant to the theory of evolution it actually is.
It’s not their fault; finding meaningful fossils is hard and expensive work, fitting them into a schema to explain their relationship with other fossils and time periods is data-deprived, and like economists, when there is little data, just speculate and call it a theory. Again, I empathize, but the records and their interpretive contexts are based mostly on speculation and “reasonable assumptions,” agendas and manipulations, as Michael Cremo teaches us. If the data does not fit, then hide it.
It's actually quite medæval, and the Church of Science is here to enforce against blasphemy. Science has adopted a classist model as their shield, as if its worship of novelty could ever beget a stable orthodoxy.
This author is not imploring them to stop developing their theses. Hardly. It’s just that everyone hearing about their work needs to understand how tentative the work actually is, and how subject to obfuscation and manipulation a thin record will always be. Where facts fail us imagination is always ready to come to the rescue.
A recent article in Phys.org, covers a study published in the prestigious Paleobiology journal from the Cambridge University Press. Since 1985, there has been a stream of articles looking for evidence that species extinction rates were driven by “climate change.” The author, W. Andrew Barr, does a masterful job admonishing the field while appearing eminently helpful.
While of course we could waste these precious keystrokes whining about the hoaxish climate spectacle, I actually found some of the data in the article much more interesting for wholly different reasons.
First, as Phys.org quotes Dr. Barr as saying,
“The idea that our genus originated more than 2.5 million years ago as part of a turnover pulse in direct response to climate change has a deep history in paleonthropology," [he] said. "My study shows that the magnitude of that pulse could be caused by random fluctuations in speciation rates. One implication is that we may need to broaden our search for why our genus arose at that time and place."
"The idea that the origin of [Genus] Homo is part of a climate-caused turnover pulse doesn't really bear out when you carefully look at the evidence and compare it against other possible explanations," Dr. Barr said.
"My research challenges scientists to be careful about the stories they tell about the history of human adaption,” Dr. Barr said. “Traits that make humans different from our ancestors, like larger brains and greater technological sophistication, could have arisen for a variety of reasons,” he said.
"We can sit in the present and tell stories of the past that make sense of our modern day adaptations," he said. "But these could have evolved for reasons we don't know."
What this author particularly enjoys about Dr. Barr’s commentary is that it’s just solid scientific thinking. Don't rush ahead of the data and test your assumptions! And while the study and its paper seem to be directed towards Whack-a-Moling the climate bandwagon people, the data in the paper raise interesting questions.
In this Giza Death Star community and in Joseph’s works, we have tapped into the ideatum that more than one set of catastrophes destroyed civilizations in the “heliosphere,” (that is to say, our solar system); and we have tapped into the ideatum that there is evidence that the technology existed to cause such catastrophe deliberately. The evidence, amassed by Joseph Farrell, Richard C. Hoagland and his imaging team, Tom Van Flandern, Paul Laviolette, and many others, just keeps piling up, taking us from "skeptical", to "considering", to "makes sense", to "flabbergasted", over a decade, as it requires years for the meaning of the data to sink in. It’s that big. It’s not the game of the millennium being played. It’s the million-year game. And ladies and gentlemen, you are bit players on the board. Let that sink in. Just contemplate the stakes.
With all of the research about the history of Helios, it’s easier to find evidence of when the civilizations ended, as carbon layers and holes in the ground are easier to find than the frail hints of when these civilizations arose and how long they lasted. The article by Dr. Barr is instructive in this regard. The current stream of paleobiology tells us that beginning more than 4.5 million years ago a gigantic pulse of new life began on Earth, nearly an order of magnitude more speciation appeared and one of those new species was us. (There is other evidence stretching the date out much longer, but let's just run with this).
The appearance of a fossil does not necessarily correlate with the appearance of a species. Detection is the limiting factor; there have to be enough beings long dead to have a meaningful probability to be detected as fossils. Detection of Lucy and her ilk says nothing about when her people arose.
Further, the data in the article by Dr. Barr shows that extinction rates exploded much later, long after the great pulse of life, right around 3.25 million years ago. This is yet another data point correlating to the Cosmic War hypothesis. A planet exploding ten astronomical units away would have devastating consequences for the Earth for tens of thousands of years as pieces and parts found the Earth in great flashes. The great rush of new species brought to Earth by survivors would grow the extinction rate for a very long time. Our current asteroid risk remains as a reminder of that awful day, giving an indication of how intense the swarm might have been when it began.
Being that we have centered on 3.25 million years ago as the date when all the comets, asteroids and Mars come together in the asteroid belt, the "big boom" date of that Kardashev II culture, we can can now see the “Helians,” that pan-solar system civilization, might have well have begun Kardeshev acceleration during the pulse reported in Dr. Barr’s article. From birth to death, that civilization may well have lasted over one million years, not withstanding the Sumerian King's List. Gone in the geologic blink of time, but well long enough to reach Kardashev II, we and the many novel plants and animals of that time are the survivors.
Kurzweil's singularity correctly suggests that the pace of technical novelty is accelerating. Moore's Law covers only density of information processing, not density of progress. Just imagine where our technology would likely be in one million years, if the idiots, the Deep Stooges, who run things, recognized that Earth is just one piece and there’s a whole chessboard to play with out there, perhaps with grandmasters of no set lifespan, "Homo Deus", who know how the game is played.
It's like everywhere this author looks, more and more real information is to be found. But don't expect anyone to tell you what it means. You have to look at it and learn to trust your mind again and take the risk of being wrong.
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