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IS THE QUAD BECOMING A QUINT?

During the whole discussion over Brexit a few years ago, I offered the speculative prediction that if Great Britain were successful in leaving the clutches of the Brusselsprouts and their European (dis)Union, that one would see it turning to the British Commonwealth for new markets and security arrangements. According to this article shared by K.B., something like that may be in the works:

£65bn Brexit boom! UK could join historic Quad in new alliance - 'Major turning point

I've blogged before about "The Quad" and my version of it, which I've been calling "the Quadruple Entente." In the popular version, the "Quad" is an ad hoc group of nations - the USA, India, Japan, and Australia - that are banding together in the face of growing Chinese power and influence in east Asia and the western Pacific. The geopolitical and economic motivations for the emergence of such a group are fairly evident. My own version, the "Quadruple Entente", is a bit more subtle, and depends on one basic principle of analysis, namely, that while America's allies in the region may publicly proclaim solidarity with it and with its economic and geopolitical concerns in the region, privately they have come to the conclusion that the USA is an increasingly unstable and dubious ally, and that in the worst case scenario, they must prepare their own geopolitical and economic security arrangements. One development that led me to this conclusion was watching the moves of Japan under former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's government. Abe moved Japan towards a more vigorously defense posture, even pushing for an amendment to its postwar "pacifist" constitution and limitations on its defense budget. Additionally, Abe opened a round of negotiations with Vladimir Putin that, astonishingly, tabled discussion of the Kurile islands for trade deals with Russia. The geopolitical reasoning behind both nations' rapprochement were clear: Russia has energy resources "close to hand," and less readily interdictable by China, resources that don't have to "run the gauntlet" through the South China Sea. Japan, in turn, has the technological infrastructure and cash Russia needs to build out and improve its infrastructure in Siberia. One story that cemented this analysis in my mind was the little-noticed story that Japan, at the request of the Russians, had run some rolling stock over a section of the Trans-Siberian railway, a move I interpreted (and still do) as an exploration of what would be needed to upgrade that rail system to high speed rail and expanded freight service. Similarly, when the West threatened to remove Russia's access to its SWIFT financial clearing system, Japan offered its own credit card clearing system, in wide use in the Pacific, to Russia. Russia accepted.

What all this suggested to me at the time, and still suggests to me, is that Russia is the real hidden player in the "Quadruple Entente", not Australia. Notwithstanding their public face of cooperation, there are tensions between Russia and China (most of which, let it be noted, are caused by China, from espionage, to assertion of Chinese claims over Vladivostok, and so on). The tensions last year built to the point that not only did Mr. Putin increase the number of missile batteries in Siberia, but that it suspended sales of its S400 Missile system to China, while allowing the same system to be sold to India in the wake of the Indian-Chinese border clashes last year.

The bottom line here is that China wants to use its one belt one road system to dominate Eurasia, and Russia simply will not allow itself to be dominated by anyone, Swampington DC, or Beijing. Putting it country simple, the more China pushes, the more Russia will seek to increase its ties to the "Big Two" in the Quad: India, and Japan.

All of this brings us to the United Kingdom and the article. Note the following:

THE UK could join a historic bloc including four of the world's biggest economic powerhouses, with a new groundbreaking defence and foreign relations review is set to be published.

...

It will also suggest whom Britain should look to enhance economic development and world standing.

Whitehall officials told Express.co.uk the review would be a “major turning point” in UK relations.

But the review is expected to receive backlash as it urges the UK and Britain to snub traditional alliances with EU countries.

One of these options could be joining the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, which includes Japan, the United States, India, and Australia, and was launched in 2007 as a defence forum

Australia and India are, of course, Commonwealth countries, so there are two basic ways to interpret Britain's move, and while there are many other ways to interpret this possibility, I want for "high octane speculation's" sake to focus on two that seem to emerge from the analytical context outlined above: (1) as a means of shutting Russia out of the quad, or (2) Britain's own private (but never publicly voiced) fears of the unreliability of the USA as an ally. The first response certainly would be in keeping with Britain's long geopolitical and adversarial relationship with Russia. Unfortunately, the bilateral diplomacy already conducted by the "big Two" - India and Japan - and Russia's long and friendly relations with India, not to mention the Indian military's reliance on Russian systems, means that this first alternative may run afoul of the realities on the ground, and come to failure. The second option is intriguing, because the current press in the USA to turn over control of the nuclear arsenal to a committee (of whom!?) is bound to unnerve not just potential enemies but allies as well.

So, crazy as it may sound, I suspect we may, in fact, be on the verge of a fundamental inflection point for British policy, one which allows one to make certain specific predictions if true, for if that prediction is true, then Britain will enter into similar types of negotiations on a bilateral basis with the other members of the Quad, not just Australia, not just India, but Japan. The rhetoric of "the special relationship" will, of course, remain. But it will come to sound increasingly hollow. Indeed, as the article itself points out, the United Kingdom has already inked a trade deal with Japan. The real tell will be bilateral security arrangements between Britain and those nations, similar to the one signed only last year between Japan and India...

And given Japan's and India's openness to Russia, don't be surprised if some of that even eventually bleeds through to Whitehall...

See you on the flip side...

 

37 thoughts on “IS THE QUAD BECOMING A QUINT?”

  1. Well two alternative researchers that follow NATO have suggested that NATO is being setup as an alternative or replacement of the UN. This is being achieved by increasing the number of member states that essentially agree to do or support whatever NATO leaders are determined to do.
    It was also pointed out that Nato leaders or decision making member states represent the old colonial powers of the past, which suggests colonialism is not yet a thing of the past

  2. Very interesting online meeting held on Friday 12 March by the 4 leaders of the Quad.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-56381104
    Comments from the four leaders after the meeting appeared to take indirect aim at Beijing. All nations pledged to defend a “free and open” Asia continent.
    “We’re renewing our commitment to ensure that our region is governed by international law, committed to upholding universal values and free from coercion,” US President Joe Biden, who chaired the meeting, said in a statement.
    Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said the summit represented “a new dawn”.
    Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga, however, took a more direct line against Beijing. He told reporters he had raised “strong opposition to China’s unilateral attempts to change the status quo”, adding that the other leaders had expressed support for his comments.

  3. These Royal/Banksters types plan way in advance; and psychological warfare is a major part of that. This move by Great Britain[read Royals/Banksters] to quid the quad, no doubt has been in the works for sometime. Indeed Dr. Farrell was blogging about the Commonweath move many moons ago.
    So what’s been also going on w/the Royals being splashed all over the tabloids and mainstream?
    A seeming distraction, to be sure.
    But is there an angle Megan Markle storyline?
    Is Megan being played in some way?
    I’m reminded of a FDR[Wall Street Tycoon] often repeated quote:

    In politics, nothing happens by accident.

    1. memes on twitter and gab showing pictures of diana side by side with meghan identical cloths and settings. almost like this is staged and scripted.

  4. How long before we read utterances in less read circles that the real reason committees are being considered to control the football is not that folk don’t trust CreepySleepyCCPJoe. It’s that the folk who run the MIC know better than to let CackleKam near that button.

    1. Curious as well in terms of trade, how best trading partners like say Japan and UK trade? What route will goods they exchange travel? What goods are they likely to trade? Are these folk ever likely to use an overland route controlled by some other power in the region?

      Also, why does Zbig keep coming to mind?
      https://nationalinterest.org/feature/china-and-russia-strategic-alliance-making-38727
      THE YEAR before he died in 2017, one of America’s leading twentieth-century strategic thinkers, Zbigniew Brzezinski, sounded an alarm. In analyzing threats to American security, “the most dangerous scenario,” he warned, would be “a grand coalition of China and Russia…united not by ideology but by complementary grievances.” This coalition “would be reminiscent in scale and scope of the challenge once posed by the Sino-Soviet bloc, though this time China would likely be the leader and Russia the follower.”

    2. Given the Talpiot powers outlined by Brendon O’Connell over and over, is Israel the somewhat still hidden technological hegemon controlling Putin and Xe? Or at least whoever’s shield is red is controlling Israel is pulling the same string in Russia and China with Tel Aviv’s silicon valley?

    3. I’m sure they know better than to let either one near it. Much of the public probably is, or will be, a little nervous about either of them getting near it. I suspect that these obvious sock puppets were chosen, among other reasons, to create this state of affairs. Somebody probably wanted an excuse to take the button away from the presidency, and what better opportunity than now?

  5. Position. Position. Position. . .

    Position in the Indian Sea, economically worldwide, trade routes, intelligence gathering, current political frontier (since it’s abnormal at best), resource distribution, and for that Indo-Asiatic *demographics*, to name several items of concern that play major influential roles in how certain political parties of multiple countries are re-positioning. Not even a 28 hour day will do to keep up with the changes underway.

    The Big Dragon has a major demographic Tsunami nearly on top of it. D.C. didn’t do it and tap screens won’t bail it out, either. What’s worse, it has an excessive pollution tally to pay up for its people. One of the reasons the Party is so interested in gene research and therapy as they have a host of real-world victims as a result of their hegemonic goals. Their permutations are lousy, and they don’t know what else to steal that will boost their intended gains that remain fleeting. No sovereign country owes them and are increasingly refusing to play along with gangsters as they learn how NOT to at breakneck speeds. There have been “Pearl Harbor’s” and “Blitzkriegs” dealt with before. There are those that should not have burned those books of illustration depicting mistakes previous dictators have made – And made badly.

    It makes good tactical sense to conduct strategies of engagement in regions where the participants have mutual goals and interests as well as assets deployed. Not to mention know the territory well from an intelligence frame of reference to deploy limited assets meaningfully for effect. Besides, India has fostered meaningful relationships with many of its neighbors for a very long time. They have a ‘Maritime Domain Awareness” (MDA) model well in place and are no slouch when fighting for what is theirs. They’re merely adding ‘blue water navy’ tactics and strategies as the need arises. The Indian military has simply upgraded their wooden battle chariots (sangramika), modernized them for mobile air, land, and seaworthy units in support of their sovereignty. Added extra “arms” (chaturanga) to the land-based requirements of defense. The Party of gangsters to the north do not have anything of history on the Ancient Indians (some 250,000 years’ worth) from the Indo-Scythian and Satavahana Empires and what was past on to present day inheritors of the Indian subcontinent. One might have heard that it is unwise to poke the Bear. Likewise, “Kali” is not to be wronged, either. She does not come alone.

    It’s been said, “Don’t underestimate the desire of the dragon to take over island(s) it has its sights on.” Maybe so but learning what dragon slayer might manifest as is NOT a poker chip they have to bet.

  6. The problem is that both the UK and the USA have failed to stabilize they have interfered in the neighbor’s affairs while allowing their own states to rot. All the bad karma they have spread to the four corners of the world is coming home to roost Meanwhile their true masters are calling in the debts and are preparing their expiration dates their usefulness has come to an end.

    1. It seems to be more of gangsters and private globalists where instability has surfaced. Opportunists taking advantage from the sidelines while they have the means to remain obscure.

  7. As the world becomes more dumbed down at the plebian level; the higher levels have become more complex. In this circling of the wagons against the Red Menace; the players look somewhat simple in their common enemy, an enemy whose strength lies in its infrastructure investments. This said infrastructure id decidedly lacking in the wagon trains whose people are going to have to pay the price of poor leadership. Not, that the people of China far any better in a totalitarian technocracy. But, the infrastructure makes China more of an economic powerhouse; especially, considering its geographical position in terms of the Eurasian landmass strategic trading centers.
    But, there are factions w/in China; as well as the other counties, that call into question its apparent strength.
    The USSA, England, and Australia are weakened by its political infighting; especially in regards to the internationalists claim on power in those said governments.
    The, when you couple this Nation State wagon train; with the inherent internationalist’s claims of power w/in those Nation States, it a real complex ball of wax.
    Throw in the Nazi International, and it gets even more perplexing.
    In all this mix; its the people that look to be at the bottom of the heap; a heap all seem to want to whittle down quite considerably.
    Depopulate.

    1. I don’t throw in that “all” lightly.
      For who is the dealer in this operation systems 1,2 punch/jab?
      Can it be that, which can’t be disclosed?
      Are the alien[s] behind it?
      You know, the ones who survived[or, their progeny] the Cosmic War?
      The ones who may have tried to wipeout mankind; in form, or another – before but something stopped them short?

      I’ll tell you, it just doesn’t make sense; unless you throw in a wild card – to off set the joker[mass genetic manipulation of mankind’s germline].

      Granted, Russia and some others, don’t seem to be playing by All the “rules’; yet, it is still going along w/the covid1984 narrative. And Russia’s population needs to be going in the other direction.

      I wonder if some gathering in Antarctica came to an agreement?

      If any of this is even partially true; I can’t believe its been kept secret.
      Still, I can’t shake-off, my more than sky-high octane speculations.

  8. It is my understanding that the British and American financial ’empires’ have been firmly entwined prior to the US ‘independence’, after the independence was declared, and continue strongly today. I think, rather like Israel and the US, the UK-US relationship cannot be severed or truly weakened without both experiencing dramatic consequences.
    My mind is viewing this Quad and other evolving alliances as positioning should the WEF NWO be successful and as a plan B should the Globalists’ agenda fail. It would also seem prudent to ‘keep one’s fingers in many pots’ and remain as flexible and nimble as possible while this experiment proceeds and until a firmer trend is indicated.

    1. Oceania has come to an end. It is no longer possible, to concentrate naval forces towards ports, from the seaside.

      On the landside, stalemate of chessboard is never intended to be won. World wars depend on honor, that now is extinct.

      The Tao of continents has no borders on maps. It is naturally limited by coastline, and has natural pivot in center.

      Russians call their great landmass: Mother Russia. That is Tao.

    2. . . . “the UK-US relationship cannot be severed or truly weakened without both experiencing dramatic consequences”.

      Most probably global catastrophism where there are no species unaffected.

    3. I find most of this geopolitical maneuvering hard to parse, but my hunch is there’s not so much a US-UK relationship as there is a dependence of both countries on one or more non-state powers that have been harvesting both countries’ treasuries, resources, and populations for decades or centuries. Any such non-state power might have headquarters in one country or another but wouldn’t necessarily be loyal to any.

  9. Just want to give a story.

    India wants to include France in the Quad, not UK. Actually, India & Japan don’t want to include another anglo-sphere country into the Quad.

    Australia on the other side wants to include the UK after all their military takes oath toward Queen.
    Also, French interests are far greater in IO with reunion island. The current Indian base in Mauritius is to provide protection of that. And France is very much wants to be part of the Quad with the help of India.

      1. Underneath it all, it is about the irrelevance of imperial papacy, and its double talk and double standard.

        Americans are socially conditioned, not to know, whom they are running errands for:
        https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/s/ccsirsai003ocg3/featherless-chicken.jpg

        Britons are socially conditioned, to worship lords and ladies, in a romantic novel, written by papal proconsuls:
        https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/s/wn7deus7wpcsmuu/looney-tunes2.jpg

        Jesuits have been busy for centuries, globally, as cloak & dagger.

  10. Just want to give a story.

    India wants to include France in the Quad, not UK. Actually, India & Japan don’t want to include another anglo-sphere country into the Quad.

    Australia on the other side wants to include UK after all their military takes oath toward Queen.
    Also French interests are far greater in IO with reunion island.

    https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/in-a-first-india-france-conduct-joint-patrols-from-reunion-island/article31129323.ece#:~:text=India%20and%20France%2C%20For%20the,coastline%20and%20the%20Malacca%20straits.

    http://trishul-trident.blogspot.com/2021/03/maritime-isr-outposts-taking-shape.html
    https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/agalega-glimpse-india-s-remote-island-military-base

  11. According to Snorri Sturluson, Odin’s move from Caukasus region, to Scandinavia, was caused by Roman expansion.

    That allows the Saxon woodcut, to have entered the picture further back, before Roman transgression took place.

    The sectorally divided sundial predates Abraham, as the original geopolitical expansion, engraved on the face of the earth.

    Today, it is Alexander Dugin’s Eurasian Druid symbol.

    1. Thor Heyerdahl’s last endeavor was to map the geopolitical backdrop of the European cosmology.

      Caucasus region was, where the ten tribes resided, and from where Odin/Adonai came to Scandinavia.

      Where Old Testament leaves off, Old Norse sagas continue. Snorri Sturluson was killed, because he said so.

      Papal octopus calls that Heathen.

      1. I find the history of the papacy , the Norseman and Jewish peoples very interesting, seems like that are one and the same

        1. Ten tribes came through Caucasus, and are named Caucasians therefore, being Caucasian by breed.

          Originally, the two leftover tribes, that remained, were of the same breed, and became mixed. Christ cleaned house.

          High money priest Caiaphas was NOT of the original breed, being moneylender by birth, and banksters by ideology.

          Race is family business, and bad blood is bankruptcy.

  12. We don’t want them! If they join it, it is to undermine it. The UK is worse than the EU. Of course our US seemingly unelected politicians seem to be working for the other side as well and will likely undermine it too. The greatest mistake America made was becoming allies with the British again. Should have taken Canada from them and allied with Russia instead. Then the Bolshevik Revolution would have failed.

  13. If the British people allow themselves to be sacrificed much longer on the altar of Tavistock social control and MK Ultra-style mind manipulation, the country will lose any strategic advantages it may have had from hosting the City and having those old imperial connections.

      1. Pshaw Dogtired. Have you not seen the clear as day signal how the Brits are woke? Today I read that Piers Morgan resigned.
        Isn’t he the guy who wrote

        Piers Morgan
        @piersmorgan
        Feb 14
        Love the idea of covid vaccine passports for everywhere: flights, restaurants, clubs, football, gyms, shops etc.
        It’s time covid-denying, anti-vaxxer loonies had their bullsh*t bluff called & bar themselves from going anywhere that responsible citizens go.

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