“PREDICTIVE POLICING” NOW PART OF NORMAL NYPD OPERATIONS

If you saw the Tom Cruise movie Minority Report, based on the science fiction of one of my favorite sci-fi authors, Philip K. Dick, you'll recall that the USA had erected a Department of Pre-Crime (reliant, incidentally, not on software or artificial intelligence computers, but on genetically engineered psychics). This department would quite literally arrest, detain, try, and convict an individual in a secret star-chamber proceeding based on predictions that they were going to commit a crime. A moment's thought about this will reveal that it is an egregious kind of pseudoscience - which, I boldly suggest, much of modern science and its experts have become - parading as justice, for the underlying assumption asks us to believe that future probabilities are deterministic in nature, not in spite of human personality or free will, but in a sense, because of it. That, in its turn, if one thinks about it a little bit, and when phrased that way, is one of those noodle-baking conundrums that modern scientism seems to present us with.

But the science fiction of Dick is no longer science fiction, as this article from our old friends at The Daily Bell indicates:

NYPD to Launch Future Crime Unit

Note what the article sites, and what it actually says:

Predictive policing, an unproven and controversial data-mining method intended to anticipate the location and participants or victims in future crimes, is now an integral part of the largest police department in the United States. During a recent panel, New York City Police Commissioner William Bratton declared that predictive policing "is the wave of the future," and that "the 'Minority Report' of 2002 is the reality of today."

Bratton's remarks, which are the most candid he has been about the department's use of data mining, came during a discussion about Big Data, hosted by The New York Times, with editor Charles Duhigg and former Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Margaret Hamburg.

"There are no secrets. There are none. If two people share a piece of information, it is no longer secret," Bratton said in response to a question by Duhigg regarding the risks of data collection.

New York police are "data mining huge amounts of information and developing algorithms that will effectively mine that data in many ways the human brain cannot," said Bratton, referring to the department's trawling of social media and crime data, as well as other information gathered by city agencies, to predict where public safety threats could arise. The department's Intelligence Division and anti-gang units already monitor social media accounts of people suspected of criminal activity, as well as those considered at risk of falling victim to violent crime. – Reveal News, July 31, 2015 

And later, this:

NYPD is launching a two-year test of "predictive policing" software called Hunchlab. The goal: Analyze criminal activity patterns and deploy resources more efficiently. That would be fine if NYPD and its commissioner knew how to respect privacy. The evidence, and his words, say they do not.

Bratton led the Los Angeles Police Department to install a network of TV cameras, gunshot detectors and license plate readers plus map the city's entire Muslim population just in case it harbored an extremist. He did the same in New York, and spied on political activists during the 2004 Republican National Convention, too. NYPD has repeatedly violated a 1985 consent decree for privacy violation. So we have reason to be skeptical when the Commish calls for yet more domestic intelligence gathering.

Not to fear, says Bratton. "Citizens should trust his department to not abuse its power and to remain within the bounds of the law," he said at a recent event. Deputy Commissioner Lawrence Byrne says the public safety benefits will outweigh potential civil liberties violations.

"Trust us,"....uhm... yea sure... NOT.

As The Daily Bell rightly observes, perfect security never occurs, in spite of the constant calls of policiticans for more expanded surveillance power, while demonstrating little reason why we, or anyone else, should trust them.
The real implication here, is more disturbing, really, even than Dick's science fiction or the movie adaptation of the same, for note that the algorithms of such predictive policing software are still a far cry from being able to predict individual behavior, including its possible individual criminal behavior. Given the analogy I have been drawing repeatedly in my books and blogs about the close affiliation of finance (and hence human behavior) and quantum mechanics (and particularly the emergence of the "quants", the physics graduates who entered finance and took their mathematical modeling tools with them to construct our high frequency trading algorithms, dark pools, and the whole new discipline of econophysics), one can no easier predict the behavior of an individual human being, than one can an individual sub-atomic particle. Indeed, doing so in the individual human's case, a much more complex phenomenon than a mere particle, is perhaps stretching the idea of mathematical modeling to the limits.
But one might be able to do it, like particles, in groups: religious groups, socio-economic classes, racial groups, could be profiled for "future criminality" on a neighborhood by neighborhood basis. Now, put that with Dick's science-fiction speculations, and you get my high octane speculation, and where this is headed: for now, the Daily Bell is assuring us that the program is only being used to commit law enforcement resources to places where the algorithms predict higher probabilities of future criminality.
And from there, of course, it is - for our modern politicians, corrupt plutocratic and scientismist "experts" - only a short step from the advocacy of the preemptive placement deployment of resources, to the preemptive use of them, against groups.
We've been down that road before. The only difference this time is that the experts have taken off the swastika armbands. But they're no more to be trusted now, than they were then.
See you on the flip side...

21 thoughts on ““PREDICTIVE POLICING” NOW PART OF NORMAL NYPD OPERATIONS”

  1. CA. has been using bogus “prediction” for civil commitment of sex offenders who have served out their decades-long criminal sentences. Each civil detainee costs about $200k/yr. to maintain, and will die in prison. All of the ” reasoning” that justifies this is based on bogus “risk assessment”. Violent criminals, including murderers, will return to society, typically with time off for good behavior. It worked because even the most minimal sex offense was redefined as universally violent and predatory. NO data is required to support the latter. CA. residents are indifferent, and fail to see how identical methods can easily be used against ANY unpopular group irrespective of so-called
    Constitutional rights.

  2. Frankie Calcutta

    It would be interesting if the PTB could install a microchip in every human so that when they are predicted to commit a crime, the chip could activate and then launch them into a virtual world where they could commit the crime but also have the consequences of their actions be expedited rapidly and not over a lifetime or many lifetimes. We could call it the instant karma chip. It would be a play within a play.

    But then one could argue: maybe we have already been loaded with this chip. Maybe our DNA is this chip.

  3. There are about 20,000 fraudulent scientific papers published a year nowadays, must be Eisenberg’s principle of uncertainty spreading it’s wings. Big brother’s watching eye on the top of the power pyramid like the cyclop state of the art cameras have no real depth of field, the best of them flatten space, technology however sophisticated unchecked does the same to humanity.
    But the problem is not technology or science, it is our cult of it and the illusion of control it promises.
    Not many people understand that power is not human, it is cosmic in nature, so powerfully addictive. Who can resist it’s lure, stay weary of it and say no to it when offered or given more than the scope of one’s limits of human responsibility?
    Only wise souls, preferring more spiritual and creative passions. Too few take a number at that door.

  4. having experienced an (event) regarding an alternative reality.in my opinion the great fallacy of attempting to determine anything (outside the forest)is using 4 dimensional perspectives. consciousness and free will exist in the (other)?? or the realm/ocean/paradigm of potential..attempting 4 dimensional determination is like digging dandy lions with a back hoe ..you’ll get them for sure while you devastate the rest of the area..of coarse this can’t be quantified.thats the point.imo

  5. On the mundane side: Joseph does not state the obvious, that NYPD is a stalking horse for the NSA. Whether it is a nod-nod-wink-wink arrangement, a sharing of experts & algorithms, or a full-blown sharing of NSA databases, “only the shadow knows.” This way, through the NYPD ‘connection’, the NSA can ‘prove out’ all of its predictive apparatus on US citizens, with impunity. With the latest revisions to the Patriot Act, it is now a crime to reveal that government authorities asked you to cooperate in obtaining databases, etc. “1984” is coming a little late…

    On the ESP-ish side: A former police officer named Pat Price was one of the Stargate Project’s top-rated Remote Viewers. I believe it was Price who semi-proved that Remote Viewers could ‘observe’ through time. He did this by the sketching of cranes and gantries at a location where they didn’t exist at the Viewing time, but did in the past (or in the future; I can’t remember now). Price died of a ‘heart attack’ not too long after proving his abilities. Knowing that ‘heart attacks’ are a proven method of alphabet agencies ‘offing’ people, I wonder if his ability was seen as a “clear and present danger” by certain shadowy parties…

    A bit of background on Price:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stargate_Project#Pat_Price

    A good list of books by various Stargate personnel at the bottom of this article:
    http://otherworldmystery.com/stargate-and-the-militarys-psychic-spies

  6. Reading the section of the article regarding: “New York police are “data mining huge amounts of information and developing algorithms that will effectively mine that data in many ways the human brain cannot,” said Bratton, referring to the department’s trawling of social media and crime data, as well as other information gathered by city agencies, to predict where public safety threats could arise.

    Reminds me of the work of Clif High over at HalfPastHuman. His premise of course, is that humans are psychic and “leak” certain intuitions in the use of their language.

    Makes me ponder what the reaction would be if they began to pull back some very odd information. And I also wonder if that may be an unspoken part of this “project”.

  7. To use that old expression “what are they going to think up next”, we’ll some criminals are “really smart”, they are the one’s that get away with it, WHY, because they study the opponent. But now that have a computer as an opponent, and the software that runs it is corruptible. As any hack will tell you, criminals are just as good as the good guys in the world of software, so Mr. Policeman, make sure those fire walls are “really’ good.

  8. Not to fear, I’m from the government. I’m here to help.

    I actually use that line once in a while being a long-time bureaucrat. Never gets old.

  9. Everything we do online is being used against us. I do a lot of prospecting using internet searches for likely areas that might have gold the old timers missed and have found myself being descretely followed and monitored when visiting these areas I searched where the rules for this hobby are a bit blurry. Someone even snuck on my property and stole some of my essay samples and results. I buy and sell jewelry I find at auctions and thrift stores and because of a charge of petty theft from giving a girl a free lobster 20 years ago I suspect I’m under surveillance sometimes because of all my internet searches trying to find out the values of my finds. Sometimes its pretty obvious the cops are following my movements discretely sometimes it may just be a coincidence that they do u turns and follow my road switches discretely or pull out from where they are parked trying to get speeders and follow me discretely.

    1. Frankie Calcutta

      Interesting Roger. Imagine how valuable the database is for every gold hoarder in the US? I wonder what the computer gamers who have manufactured our universe will cook up to trigger another gold accumulation in the United States where this database will be the treasure map? Will the database fall into the hands of ISIS as they extend their Caliphate into North America? Will marauding UN mercenaries plunder the US for mom and pop’s gold? Will gold ownership be equated with “white privilege” and therefore a target of rampaging minority mobs? Or will that gamer who invented the banksters coolly cook up some scheme where the US populous willingly turns over their gold for some contrived patriotic reason or for some greater gain– like abundant amounts of newly printed federal reserve notes?

      1. If the bankers have nothing else left to steal and society wakes up to all their scams and go back to bartering with gold, silver, and other goods you can count on it. I suspect this predictive crime prediction is really based upon internet searches. Example: Say someone convicted of house robberies is data mined using Google Earth to get the lay out of certain neighborhoods. Well without a warrant the computer would alert the cops to this suspect potentially committing a crime in this neighborhood and they could then monitor this person or area. As for prospecting or treasure hunting in grey areas they could alert forest service to your searches and you could be stopped and searched while leaving these areas as I have been done. Forest service doesn’t seem to care about warrants and search your vehicle weather you like it or not. They even argued if just one small hose of my gold dredge was enough to arrest me for dredging even though the rest of my dredge was at my house. Forgot that hose when I unloaded my dredge from my last trip to legal place to dredge. They seemed real disappointed that their superiors sided with me and told them to let me go.

  10. What do you expect of our elites they project their vices onto the underclass. As if we have free time to waste on these stupid fantasies to begin with. They wouldn’t know anything about living any type of real life even if they tripe over it. Since they are psychopaths they assume everyone else is. Broken windows re dux just put together a decent society and you can deal with the real pests more easy the rot starts at the top of society.

  11. Robert Barricklow

    Of course.

    Most of us know that science has been politicized, bought, sold, securitized, diced & repackaged commodity.
    Today’s lie detector. Many are unaware that the lie detector has been used to convict, at least in the minds of those that believe the science. For example, in the casino business a dealer is wanted out and Presto!; the lie detector gives him or her the boot!

    An old hag that has been dolled-up in the latest science high-tech fashion to win your hearts[but more importantly, your minds].

    1. Robert Barricklow

      Really?[was reference to above].
      It was because my remark was not posted as the algorithm determined it to be suspect/modulated or something.
      These self imposed watch dogs; a necessary evil due to the elitist digital platforms of copyright/patent straight jackets, etc., imposed on the allegedly free internet of information.

      An arrow that flies in the dead of night because no one sees its deadly effect/the self censorship algorithms.

  12. What better way to swell the prison/industrial complexes ranks with cheap/slave labor. Bringing the third world economies home to Amerika.

  13. Why does it come as no surprise that JPF has such an appreciation for PKD?

    May the pinkish glow of the plasmate envelop us all.

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