CABINET COUP AGAINST MAY? (WITH LATE UPDATE)
Well, it's finally happening... supposedly. According to news coming out of the United Kingdom and the following story in Zero Hedge, Prime Minister Theresa May is facing an open revolt of her cabinet against her leadership of the Tory party and the government, and it's all over Brexit:
This says it all:
Theresa May may have days, if not hours, left as prime minister of the UK following a full-blown cabinet coup on Saturday night as senior ministers moved to oust the UK prime minister and replace her with her deputy, David Lidington.
According to the Sunday Times, following a "frantic series of private telephone calls", senior ministers agreed the prime minister must announce she is standing down, warning that she has become a toxic and “erratic” figure whose judgment has "gone haywire."
The plotters reportedly plan to confront May at a cabinet meeting on Sunday and demand that she announces she is quitting. If she refuses, they will threaten mass resignations or publicly demand her head. The "conspirators" were locked in talks late on Saturday to try reach a consensus deal on a new prime minister so there does not have to be a protracted leadership contest. (Italicized emphasis added)
Chief among the causes of May's losing her cabinet's confidence is the sudden turn-abouts in her positions within the last week:
As the Times details, the coup erupted "after a week of mistakes" by May, who delivered a television statement that alienated the MPs whose support she needs for her Brexit deal and then flirted with backing a no deal before performing a U-turn.
One cabinet minister said: “The end is nigh. She won’t be prime minister in 10 days’ time.”
A second said: “Her judgment has started to go haywire. You can’t be a member of the cabinet who just puts your head in the sand.”
Similar to recurring mentions of the 25th Amendment in the US, concerns about May’s mental and physical resilience are widely shared. Officials in parliament were so concerned about May’s welfare they drew up a protocol to extract her from the Commons if she collapsed at the dispatch box.
For now May has refused to comply with the coup's demands, and the Times sources at Downing Street say May has not yet come to the conclusion that she should resign and is still being encouraged by her husband Philip to fight on. But she has also lost the confidence of key allies whose job it is to maintain party discipline. Whether she remains or quits, the current Brexit process remains irreparably broken: Julian Smith, the chief whip, believes there is no prospect of the prime minister winning support for her deal unless she announces that she is standing down so the second phase of Brexit negotiations can be conducted by a new leader.
So in other words, May was flirting with a hard "no deal" Brexit, then reneged on that, while the coup planners are banking on a second round of negotiations, and that from a position that can only be perceived as weak after a leadership contest!
It's difficult not to lay the blame for the whole fiasco at Prime Minister May's feet, since her performance has been one of stellar weakness at a time when the Euroskeptic parties on the continent are also bucking the dictats coming from the Brussels-Berlin axis; she has been unable to capitalize on that politically at a time when the Big Two of the European Union, France and Germany, have their own weak governments and are increasingly under fire, in France's case, almost literally. To botch an opportunity like that takes real talent that can only be learned at the Angela Merkel school of politics.
The solution, as the article points out, is a temporary premiership under Deputy Prime Minister David Lidington, who would take over the premiership after a May resignation, conduct negotiations, and then (hopefully) turn over the party leadership to a more permanent leader after that.
There's two flies in that ointment, and they're major ones. One of those flies is former cabinet member Boris Johnson whom this author well-remembers from his Oxford days, the other is Jacob Rees-Mogg.
The sad part of all of this is, Britain was warned by a previous Prime Minister who was also a woman, that the European Union scheme would ultimately dilute British sovereignty. No one listened, and she was ousted by a similar cabinet coup and a globalist was put into her place.
And now the lessons that were ignored back then have come home to roost.
So what's my prediction? That will all depend on what happens on the up-coming meeting on Sunday. If May's leadership is successfully challenged, or even if it is not and mass cabinet resignations occur, then one will have to watch Mr. Johnson and Mr. Rees-Mogg very carefully. Both men have been quietly drawing attention to the problems in Ms. May's "deal", and both, if one has been watching them, have been carefully stumping and speaking around the country in classic political stumping style, and a party leadership contest could see them emerge as contenders, though efforts have been made to stop Johnson's leadership ambitions (see MPs plot to stop Boris Johnson ever becoming Tory leader – 'There is NO chance'). Just as a personal note, having been distantly acquainted with Mr. Johnson and watching him campaign in the Oxford Union society, it's never a safe bet to count him out...
Either way, May's days, like Merkel's and Macron's, seem to be numbered.
See you on the flip side...
(There was an update after I composed the above blog: Parliament has voted to take control of the Brexit process from PM MAY:
And yet another update: apparently Commons has another vote coming up tomorrow concerning an extension and approximately one half of May's Brexit deal.... it's getting impossible to keep up with!)
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